Author: Admin

  • Data (Gold) Mining

    Data (Gold) Mining

    Let’s face it, if you really were going to quit Facebook, you would have a few years ago. Fact is, you should have asked the serious questions when the ‘free’ social media platform started turning over millions and even billions of dollars in revenue. No free service can generate that amount money out of goodwill and thin air – so much that they could list on the stock exchange. So, we are not quite sure why everyone is acting amazed or why the knee-jerk #DeleteFacebook campaign is only now coming to light.

    There really is no such thing as a free lunch and if you believe that all these online social platforms – who may have started off with sole intentions to provide a free service, would keep it that way, then you are as naive as they are hoping you to be. Think about it, the companies behind the platforms, actively recruit in pretty much tens and hundreds of cities globally. And the simple fact of the matter is that in order for them to pay all their (global) staff of programmers, developers, executives, lawyers and other stakeholders – they need revenue.

    Facebook, Google, Twitter, Snapchat and pretty much any social media platform that has over 100 million users, therefore, sit on a goldmine for advertisers. The commodity, however, is not just what their users wish to own in the short term, or their purchasing power directly for that matter. The commodity is simply you, the user. So, your preferences, habits and views along with their personal data are analysed via machine-learning systems to study behaviours and habits for constant revenue maximization or in some extreme cases: political, psychological and social manipulation!

    “Your ‘payment’ on a social media platform is your consent to have your information used for marketing purposes – opting out of marketing would give you true free use of the service. But no profiteering company offers that privilege today – the best you can get is a month’s free trial.”

    Knowing your likes, spending habits, music preferences, political views, personal information including location and working habits is enough for any company or institution to cater their goods and services and position them (sometimes subliminally) into spaces where you are likely to indulge in them. Social media platforms, in this case, become the marketplace for them to ‘mine’ data to use.

    Most famous social network sites worldwide as of January 2018, ranked by number of active users (in millions).

    Most famous social network sites worldwide

    Source: © Statista 2018

    text-mining-icon-2793702_640

    Data mining is not a new idea and completely legal if presented transparently in the terms and conditions of any service – which are getting longer by the day (and smaller in print) that we don’t bother to read them. In fact, Microsoft envisioned this a decade ago and changed the way its operating systems work (beginning with its Windows 8 series), to more of a social, interactive and information gathering system – designed to “help you” organize things better. This is fostered by a voice-activated app called Cortana – all under one Microsoft account.

    Amazon has its own ways of data mining via your shopping habits and Alexa – is own voice-activated search and information-providing device. Google (owned by a group called the Alphabet company) has the biggest stranglehold of the lot and must, therefore, be the most cautious when it comes to data privacy and security.

    This applies especially with its partnership with Android, which makes it a requirement to use for all their devices (phones and tablets) to link up all your data including phone contacts, emails via Gmail, pictures via GoogleDrive, apps (music, movies and games) orders via the Google (Play)Store and social media via Google+. You can even have your search fields stored and synced onto your devices – from your laptop to phone and tablet via Google.

    You are now having to (almost mandatorily) give up your telephone number, location, and other preferences indirectly to unknown affiliated marketers and partners of the tech giants who are getting first dibs on this data – and paying good money for it.

    The main violation by Facebook, therefore, might not even be non-consensus selling of data to marketers, because such things could be countered with a clause they may have strategically stuck in while you were busy posting selfies and liking random videos of cats making funny faces. The real issue is the potential use of the data for political or advanced manipulation of data for fraudulent purpose with the use of sophisticated and artificial intelligence to influence you without your knowledge.

    Read more about the uses of Artificial Intelligence here

    N26_banner-300x250-EN

    Full data privacy, though not conceivable, and absolute freedom from advertising on social platforms is possible – but at a cost. This was reiterated recently by the COO of Facebook who admittedly confirmed that opting out of the terms to have your data sold or used would lead to you having to pay to use Facebook in future. They had just not put this in place but will now forcibly have to make it a clearly visible option.

    250x250The fact of the matter is we are in an era of Big Data, Internet of Things (IoT) and AI – all which require data to analyze. These platforms are thus here to stay and still serve their specific functions well. More importantly, they’re also the livelihood for many small-to-medium-sized businesses. Though many were reluctant at first, pretty much every company now has a Facebook, Twitter or Instagram page to showcase and communicate with their clients via the newly termed phrase ‘social engagement’ – a strong branding and marketing tool.

    And if you think you are out of it by leaving one platform, just remember this: Facebook owns WhatsApp & Instagram; Google owns YouTube; Microsoft owns LinkedIn and so on – there is nowhere to hide if complete online privacy is important to you. And let’s not forget your web-browser – not many people actively use ad-blockers unaware that even their browsing data is being scanned and processed always by external third-parties companies.

    If you aren’t using a Virtual Private Network (VPN), you should seriously consider it along with some good (some free) plug-ins to help secure your online browsing from all types of behind the scenes snooping and ransomware.

    It will be interesting to see the outcome and verdict of the probe into the Facebook case and rest assured, many other heavily used platforms will be deleting and removing ties with data mining marketers that have had a similar agenda to what Cambridge Analytica was accused of conducting.

    A change in verification of marketers, data storage, management and data security laws (such as the new GDPR law targeting businesses coming in May 2018 to the EU region) were long overdue, and Facebook will now be the scapegoat to enforce data security laws on social media.

  • Nurture State Treasures

    Nurture State Treasures

    There are many schools of thought on how to manage natural resources. The idea that a non-renewable resource “gifted” by nature to a country is something that should be considered a once-off benefit shows how forward-thinking that nation is.

    If your country happens to have a wealth of a mineral resource, should the current generation use it for their benefit alone or should future generations of the country also benefit?


    This also raises prognosis into an important distinction is between wealth and income.

    Defining wealth

    A non-renewable resource is a good that can only be consumed once such as oil and gas.
    They are distinct from renewable resources such as forests and fisheries in such a way that, if managed properly can give you a sustainable stream of income for all time.


    Some non-renewable resources can, of course, be recycled, and most metals and some fossil fuels fall into this category.


    A goldmine, for example, should be viewed as a source of wealth (and not just income and profits for the company mining the yellow stuff).
    And while this sounds normative, no single generation has the mandate to spend that wealth in their lifetime.


    The wealth must instead be preserved for future generations and only the income from that wealth be used by the current generation.

    A shining example

    Norway* (if not now one of a few) is the only country in the world that consistently applies the principle of intergenerational fairness.
    The revenue that Norway contracts from oil and gas has since 1990 been collected in a fund that currently stands at over $1 trillion. This number is growing every second!


    The wealth is converted into money and the value preserved. This (sovereign) fund is maintained for future generations, and only the interest earned from this wealth is used for the current generation.


    In this way, all future generations will benefit from the ‘lucky situation’ of the country.

    The Government Pension Fund Global is saving for future generations in Norway. One day the oil will run out, but the return on the fund will continue to benefit the Norwegian population – Norges Bank (The managers of the public fund)

    In intergenerational economic terms, this is the only correct way of using the non-renewable assets of the country. It is encouraging that other countries are looking to the Norwegian model.

    Other ways of re-investing

    A different school of thought is that some of the wealth can be invested to create future growth that will provide better sustainable income for the country.


    Many Middle Eastern countries are prime examples. They invest the revenue in construction projects to create a platform for economic prosperity.


    This is seen in the vast projects in the UAE cities of Dubai and Abu-Dhabi. They aim to produce sustainable income for the region when the oil runs out.


    It is an interesting illustration of Say’s law – in which supply creates its own demand.


    Will the investment in infrastructure enable these countries to sustain their level of wealth for all future generations or will they 200 years from now be vast cities in the desert. A legacy to a time where opulence and abundance purveyed?

    Read more about sustainabilty and human irrational behaviour here.

    In most developing countries, like most of Africa, there is no consideration for future generations. The wealth of non-renewable resources such as gold, platinum, and diamonds are used in today’s budgets. This is with little thought that this wealth could one day not be there and should not be spent now.


    The wealth inherited from previous generations is used to finance an unsustainable level of consumption.

    Conclusion

    The main lesson to take from this is that a non-renewable resource can only be used once. It is a precious endowment that is bestowed upon the country by luck or good fortune and it is therefore selfish to use it on the current population.


    It is not income, but wealth. This distinction is alien to most but is very important. Wealth is something that should be preserved.

    The three basic options facing a country are: spending it, preserving it, or you can simply invest it in future sustainable growth.


    The choice is ours.

    *Revised and originally written by a Norwegian economist working for a Sovereign Fund company that has since moved to the Private Equity sector.
  • Nine Reasons Why Globalization Can’t Be Permanent

    Nine Reasons Why Globalization Can’t Be Permanent

    We spoke about globalization in an earlier post on some general terms – citing that it has taken a different shape or evolved. This article below however, delves deeper and highlights on nine reasons why this evolution will be forced to happen.

    It is so well written, it covers all salient points and asks all the right questions – such as what we have pondered on the validity of GDP as a measure of success. The Intelligence Quotient (IQ) has of late been questioned as the main determinant of intelligence in the advent of Emotional Intelligence (EQ) and soon Artificial Intelligence (AI). Likewise, we must question the accuracy in the way the success (or disguised failures) of a nation is presented, and what we are told is required for this success to materialize.

    We especially loved this analogy of the current world situation and if anything is to be taken from this article, this is it:

    bicycle-analogy

    Again kudos to the author Gail Tverberg for this in-depth piece (featured on her website on 31 Jan 2018). In it, Gail touches on issues such as a population growth, a growing wage-disparity, heavy energy consumption, and the demand for cheaper alternative energy:

    Read about the 9 reasons here:   https://wp.me/p3dRG-b4w

    Also read more on how Globalization has evolved here

    Hope you enjoy it as much as we did, and that it has the same effect it had – getting one to think outside the box and look at the big picture.

  • Piggybacking on company shares

    Piggybacking on company shares

    It is clear that the business of share trading and its intricacies still create a dark cloud for many of you. This is, however, a rather unnecessary element of sophistication.

    It is only fair to, therefore, delve in and break it down by discussing not just the way to trade, but the whole point of it.

    While trading may seem like something only smart people engage in, this is, however, not the case.

    What are shares?

    The first thing to understand is that shares (referred to as stocks) entitle the holder to have part ownership in a company.

    So, if you own a share in, Amazon, Manchester United, or a Cryptocurrency company like Ripple – you literally OWN a part of that company.

    You are basically co-owning with other stakeholders of the company. This with the hopes that the people who run it will increase the monetary value of your shareholding by making the company a success.

    Now your share will determine what level of control (decision-making) you have when it comes to the company’s operations.

    Naturally, owning just one, ten, or even 1000 shares of Amazon (a hefty $1400 each today), still does not entitle you to have a say in how it is run.

    As the majority shareholder, you would probably be the company owner (chairman/founder) or one of its board of directors. To gain such a majority shareholding and full control of a company, the minimum number of shares you would need would be 51% of all shares issued. Good luck obtaining that many!

    The rationale for issuing shares

    But let’s take a further step back and unravel why shares are issued in the first place. Your company (hopefully) has value because of its ability to generate revenue. This makes it a constant target for investors in a capitalistic market.  Wealthy individuals carefully monitor its value to brace for a potential takeover or for just a piece of the pie.

    To get listed on a stock exchange your company will decide how much of its equity to publicly issue as shares. You can even issue shares to raise more capital to help grow your business.

    This form of equity will be backed against your total assets (and its debts) on the balance sheet. So hypothetically, a company with 100 Euros worth of assets and liabilities has 100 Euros worth of (owners) equity.

    This basically enables you to determine its net worth at a given point in time.

    The easiest way to remember this is through this basic accountant’s formula:

    Total Owner’s Equity (OE) = Assets (A) + liabilities (L).

    The shares are accounted for in the OE and are issued in denominations based on various factors. This helps to provide you with an indication of the relative strength (or weakness), or potential growth rate of the company.

    What do they tell us?

    The (snapshot) total value of the company is thus determined by its share price multiplied by total number issued. This is referred to as its market capitalization. There are several other measures and tools to evaluate the general health of a company.

    Rising share prices, though always good, does not always necessarily mean that the company is great value for money. This is because share prices can also be undervalued or overvalued.

    Shares for large companies are naturally offered in millions and via an initial public offering (IPO) from as little as one cent (penny stock), or much more (depending on its valuation). Thereon, it can rise astronomically to what was quoted for Amazon earlier.

    Where to get them

    The open market or local bourse is where you can buy and sell shares at specific times depending on side of the world it is located.

    Obtaining shares come with additional costs (brokerage fees, commission, interest payments in cases of leverage buying, etc.). Depending on the terms and conditions in the overall market (regulations), but more specifically, on the company or broker offering you access to shares.

    A good company share will also give you a return on an annual dividend. This is basically a share of the company’s profits over and above its share price.

    It is a good idea to include high dividend-yielding shares like Coca-Cola, in your trading portfolio – if you can afford them.

    Influencers

    Once you purchase your stake in the company, you will naturally, even if you don’t have a controlling say in how the company is operated, take a keen interest in the company’s activities.

    Everything it does whether internal operations or outside for that matter, will have an impact on its valuation.

    Naturally, investors follow the age-long rule of common sense: buy when the price is low. If you missed the IPO and the price dips, you can always get in at a good (low) price. The stock market runs like a rollercoaster – you just need the right time to hop on!

    “Unless a company goes belly-up, a share-stock price that is going down is actually going up – in the long run.”

    Obviously, the price (trend) is not always upward and one must be prepared to weather such storms. You shouldn’t have to be continuously focusing on the price after thorough due diligence on your chosen company.

    Read more about Due Diligence here

    Choosing a good stock and leaving it to work is the best advice you will get. This is because you can become emotionally attached to the performance of the shares and that can affect your mood.

    There are also a lot of trading tools to help prevent a total meltdown if the company folds-up. This can be due to external factors like fraudulent scandals or government intervention. Keep tags now and then – this is important.

    The recent events and scandal faced by Facebook saw it lose a significant amount (billions of dollars) in it the value of its share price.

    Read more about investing here.

    Short-selling of shares/stocks

    There are also ways to “have your bread buttered both ways” in investing. This is where the concept of short-selling comes in.

    So, while we all inclined to bet on a company’s stock to go up – there are groups of investors who bet the other way. They have the hopes (based on indicators) that the price will rather drop.

    This seemingly dubious form of trading is perfectly legit but comes, naturally, with an even higher level of risk. If the price increases in favour of all ‘normal’ long-term investors – the short position starts losing money. You may even have to fork out more to cover the amount borrowed to make the short-sell in the first place.

    Short-selling is, therefore, if you are inexperienced and ill-informed!

    So, you “buy” or rather borrow (leverage) the future value of the share/stock price usually at its apparent peak and hope that it will drop. You will continue to profit from the bet by as much as the share price continues to drop.

    Earlier in the year, one such investor dubbed “50 Cent” bagged 200-million-dollars in a major shorting stint.

    Shorting a stock is a complex, risky but highly lucrative method of balancing out a portfolio. A seasoned trader will, therefore, have several positions including some “buy” and “sell” positions on their chosen shares.

    You should have various mechanisms (take profits and stop losses) set in place to execute their trades based on those positions.

    Naturally, you wouldn’t just short a stock if you didn’t know something about what factors were to lead to a sharp/large drop in the share price.

    But getting this right is often an exercise that straddles a fine line between being well-informed and intuitive and blatant insider trading.

    The bigger picture

    So, in summary, shareholding generally occurs when you acquire a stake in a business. You can own intellectual capital, founding rights, or be s a funder/seed investor to help start the business.

    So why do companies issue out shares to the public again you might still ask?

    Think of share listing as a way for your company to hold itself publicly accountable. is the ultimate branding weaponry in its arsenal and quest to exponentially increase its profits.

  • Piggybacking on company success

    Piggybacking on company success

    After having several conversations which clearly highlight the fact that the business of share trading and its intricacies still create a dark cloud to many, and an unnecessary element of sophistication at that, it is only fair to (in true debunqed.com fashion) take a step back, delve in and break it down by discussing not just the way to trade – but the whole point of it. It can seem like something only smart people engage in. This is, however, not the case.

    The first thing to understand is that shares (referred to in the US as stocks) entitle the holder to have part ownership in a company. So, if you own a share in, Amazon, Deutsche Bank, Coca-Cola, Manchester United or a Cryptocurrency company like Ripple – you OWN a part of the company. You are basically co-owning with other stakeholders of the company with the hopes that the people who run it will increase the monetary value of your shareholding by making the company a success.

    Now your share/ownership will determine what level of control (decision-making powers) you have when it comes to the company’s operations. Naturally, owning just 10 or even 1000 shares of Amazon (which cost around a hefty $1400 each today), still does not entitle the owner to have a say in how it is run. The majority shareholder – which would probably be the company owner (chairman/founder) or its board of directors, depending on how the company is structured, will still have the overall say.

    To gain a majority shareholding and therefore full control of a company, the minimum number of shares one would need would be 51% of the total issued…good luck obtaining that many!

    But let’s take a further step back and unravel why shares are issued in the first place. A company has a value and within that context will always keep tags on the capitalistic market and carefully monitors its value to brace for a potential takeover or a consideration to sell.

    So, to get listed on a stock exchange a company will decide how much of its equity to publically issue as shares and might even use it to raise more capital to help grow the business.

    This form of equity will be backed against its total assets (and its debts) on its balance sheet. So hypothetically, a company with 100 Euros worth of assets and liabilities has 100 Euros worth of (owners) equity – which basically enables one to determine its worth at a given point in time.

    The easiest way to remember this is through this basic accountant’s formula:

    Total Owners Equity (OE) = Assets (A) + liabilities (L).

    The shares are accounted for in the OE and are issued in denominations based on various factors to provide an indication of the relative strength (or weakness), or potential growth of the company. The (snapshot) total value of the company is thus determined by its share price plus number issued and referred to as its market capitalization. There are several other measures and tools to evaluate the general health of a company.

    Rising shares, though always good will not always necessarily mean the company is great value for money as share prices can also be under- or overvalued. Shares for large companies are naturally offered in millions and via an initial public offering (IPO) from as little as one cent or more (depending on its valuation upon listing on the market) and rise to what was quoted for Amazon earlier – which along with the price of certain commodities are one of the highest per share currently available in the open market.

    The open market of local bourse is where shares can be bought and sold at specific times depending on side of the world it is located – just like in a traditional marketplace.

    Obtaining shares may come with an additional cost (brokerage fees, commission, interest payments in cases of leverage buying etc.) depending on the terms and conditions of the market but more specifically, on the company or broker offering access to the shares.

    39373_160x600

    A good company share will also offer its holders in return an annual dividend – which is basically a share of the company’s profits over and above the share price. So, it is a good idea to include dividend-yielding shares in your trading portfolio if you can afford them.

    Once you purchase your stake in the company, you will naturally, even if you don’t have a controlling say in how the company is operated, take a keen interest in the company’s activities as everything it does within its operations or outside ops for that matter will have an impact on its valuation, and therefore, the price of the share you own.

    Naturally, investors follow the age-long rule of common sense and buy when the price is low. If you missed the IPO and dip in, the price is always a good time to even top-up for the long and eventual rise.

    “Unless a company goes belly-up, a share-stock price that is going down is actually going up – in the long run.”

    But the price as we know does not always go up and one must be prepared to weather such storms by not continuously focusing on the shares once you have done your due-diligence and purchased for the long haul. Playing blissful ignorance is the best advice you will get as one can become emotionally attached to the performance of the shares and have it affect your mood.

    There are also a lot of trading tools to help prevent a total meltdown if the company folds-up due to external factors such as fraudulent scandals or government intervention – so keeping tags now and then is still required. The recent events and scandal faced by Facebook saw it lose a significant amount (billions of dollars within weeks) in it the value of its share price.

    Read more about investing here.

    There are also ways to “have ones’ bread buttered both ways” and this is where the concept of short-selling comes in. So, while we all would bet on a company’s stock to go up – there are groups of investors who bet the other way with the hopes that the price will rather drop.

    This seemingly dubious form of trading is perfectly legit and comes, naturally, with a higher level of risk – that is if the price increases in favour of all ‘normal’ long-term investors – the short starts to lose money and will even have to fork out more for the amount borrowed to make the short-sell in the first place – not for the inexperienced and ill-informed!

    So, you “buy” or rather borrow (with leverage) the future value of the share/stock price usually at its apparent peak (or bubble bursting price level) and hope that it will drop for you to profit from the bet by as much as it continues to drop. Earlier in the year, one such investor dubbed “50 Cent” bagged 200-million-dollars in a major shorting maneuver.

    Shorting a stock is a complex, risky but highly lucrative method of balancing out a portfolio. A seasoned trader will, therefore, have several positions including some “buy” and “sell” positions on their shares for long and short terms with the various mechanisms set in place to execute their trades based on those positions.

    One wouldn’t just short a stock if one didn’t know something about what was to come or what factors were to lead to a sharp and large drop in the share price. But getting this right is often an exercise that straddles a fine line between being well-informed and intuitive and blatant insider trading.

    So, in summary, shareholding happens naturally when you acquire a stake in a business through ownership of its intellectual capital, founding rights, or status as a funder or initial investor to help start the business.

    So why do companies issue out shares to the public again you might still ask… think of share listing as a way for a company to hold itself publicly accountable and thus is the ultimate branding weaponry in its arsenal and quest to exponentially increase its profits.

  • Rare tangible coins

    Rare tangible coins

    With all the talk of digital (altcoins) and Bitcoin, it is hard to even fathom the value or point of holding physical coins.

    They are still nevertheless being minted so it will be quite a while before the clunky things are done away with.
    Some coins, however, though not very publicized, still hold significant value – even as much as Bitcoins!
    It reminds me of a time way back in 2006 while routinely wandering through the pages of a local magazine, I paused at an advertisement that caught my eye.
    An institution dubbed the South African Coin Corporation was offering R100 000 (the present-day equivalent of $8400) for a 5 Rand coin with the face of Nelson Mandela engraved on the back.
    Unable to contain my excitement at the prospect of being a couple of hundred thousand Rands richer, I rang up the number supplied at the bottom of the advert to claim my bounty. I had five of the coins.
    Unfortunately, the coins were worth little more than their intended 5 Rand in value because they were ‘used’.

    Coin dealers

    The company required rare coins that had been untouched and uncirculated. The South African Mint in 2000/2001 minted and encapsulated a few of the 5 Rand Mandela coins and sold them to a few collectors. They are now valuable and had a high demand from overseas collectors.
    The South African Coin Corporation was one of the many coin dealers in the country that dealt exclusively in graded, encapsulated rare (uncommon)South African coins.
    For the past 18 years prior to my visit, the company traded in rare coins ranging from the Veld pond, the 1892 one penny to Krugerrands. All these coins come with (often) dramatic and important historical backgrounds.
    “Roman emperors were printed on their coins and that’s how one could tell who ruled and through which period,” a senior broker and spokesman for the corporation explained.
    “The coins encompass historical periods in time from the Anglo-Boer war to Paul Kruger, and the gold mines – the stories are all in the coins.”
    The coins are graded on an internationally guaranteed system by two recognized American firms namely NGC and PCGS. They work on a grading system ranging from categories such as ‘good’, ‘fine’ and ‘uncirculated’.
    The grading system helps to determine authenticity and originality of the coins – eliminating counterfeits and circulated coins. A ‘proof 70’ coin is basically a flawless coin and is worth a small fortune.
    Lower and medium coins on average collect growth levels of 8% to 15%. Low-grade coins are basically coins that have been in circulation or ‘used’.
    Therefore, a 5 Rand coin obtained from banks and shops (such as the ones I had at the time) are deemed as heavily circulated. Therefore it is only worth the printed value.

    Point of interest

    The industry was briefly brought into the spotlight about a decade ago with the record sale of the single fine ‘proof 69’ Mandela 5 Rand coin. It sold for a whooping 100 000 Rands (worth $13, 300 at the time).
    A senior broker at the Coin Corporation carried out the record sale. “That specific coin was bought by an overseas investor,” he said.
    The near flawless coin according to the company is earmarked to break the $100 000-mark in years to come when it becomes rarer. “And we are yet to see a ‘proof 70’ coin,” he added.
    IMG_1512857432726_1If that sounds impressive you will be further astounded to know that even lower grades of the coin such as the proof 66 5 Rand Mandela cost 735 Rands ($62) in 2006. It then commanded growth of over an astonishing 900%.
    And like our digital friend Bitcoin, it shot up to 8500 Rands ($715) within a year in that year – spurred by speculation and the knowledge of its existence and intrinsic value.
    Some of the lower grades (Proof ‘62s and ‘64s) are now currently worth about $200 – $300 today and can be bought off private investors via online marketplaces. Some banks like this German-based Bank called Netbank offers the option to invest directly in Krugerrands.

    The US market has the largest rare coin markets in the world valued at billions and billions of dollars.

    For those that are looking for something more secure and long term, there is only one trend with this type of investment – and it’s upwards. It does however, take a long time. A lot longer than holding shares/stock or the digital variation.

    Market research is key

    As with any trading instrument, industry experts caution investors about the use of the coins as investment vehicles.
    It is advised that the coins were subjected to various grading tests and you have to ensure that you are getting the right price for the value of  your coins.
    As a potential investor in a coins, you need to have them valued professionally – preferably with any of the accredited coin makers.
    The market for rare coins is also highly subjected to supply and demand factors. There is always a shortage of rare coins with a steady demand from collectors – so naturally, prices are generally always going up albeit slowly.
    External factors (albeit not heavily) can also affect the value of your rare coin. Aspects such as the economic or even political climate of the country can corrode or improve your coin’s value.
    So, just as we advised about researching Cryptocurrency for their intrinsic value, it is key to learn about the coins you plan to invest in. Furthermore, it is of greater value to have a collection of rare coins than just having one or two.
    Many people, for instance, do not know that there are two types of Krugerrands because they look the same. One is mass produced – making it less rare and therefore less valuable.

    Concluding

    The main impetus behind investing in rare coins besides the diversification of your portfolio includes the fact that they add to your personal assets as it is free of capital gains tax.
    It, therefore, serves as collateral or surety for bigger investments.
    There are also perks such as the absence of hidden costs, administration costs and commission deductions – which are paramount ingredients of other forms of investments.
    Once you purchase the coin, it is yours for the keeping – we are still holding on to ours! 😊

  • How countries operate

    How countries operate

    At times, we can all become frustrated by political agendas, misfortunes, and perceived lack of planning by various governments around the world. As a result, not quite often see the bigger picture – or the economics of how countries work.

    Naturally, the political fracases provide fuel for media companies who in turn bombard us with their 24-hour news cycles. But we need to understand that politicians are only temporary custodians of the country and its economy. Each economic model is built on the same premise that started many hundreds of years ago – that of bartering.

    Two pillars of government

    There are two main mandates or rather tasks that a ruling party is assigned by the electorate when it comes to governing. These are: controlling the country’s fiscal and monetary policy.

    Fiscal policy is the internal running of the country and basically deals with tax and how it is allocated. The fiscal budget is then awarded to the various sectors of any economy.


    These include education, transport, healthcare, finance, trade and industry, defense, agriculture, and many other building blocks of your country.
    How the government prioritizes the spending on each of these sectors will determine its policy priorities.

    It will also be a signal of its wider political intentions. And this not only to voters but also to its neighbouring countries in regard to international trade and security.


    A nation concerned with information and its human capital will prioritize education in its budget. There are however other approaches to budgetary allocation such as funding trade and industrial activities.
    This leads to job creation that will, in turn, drive a need for tradesmen and women to diversify and obtain the new skills required.


    This also provides an incentive for state-run schools, privately funded schools, and institutions to develop new skill sets. Doing both is ideal – as governments must foster innovation by promoting and funding higher learning institutions where top talent can be nurtured and developed.

    Fiscal policy forms the larger mandate as this budget is derived from the collective taxation of income, capital gains, trading and customs, sin taxes, corporate, and simple public services.
    That way allocation of the fiscal budget to finance will pave the way for monetary policy to function.

    International trade is the key to generating further income as a government cannot rely on an internally driven economy to sustain wealth. The same applies to business so an agreed trade policy would need to accommodate all aspects of the country’s economy.

    National specialization

    Every thriving nation has been built on either skilfully utilizing internal resources or have created global demand for a service or industry.
    The UK has strong financial and corporate offerings plus its geo-positioning (GMT) allows it to be a central commercial trading point for the world.
    Germany has always had a rich source of steel enabling the production of cars, rail brands, and manufacturing.


    In addition, it continues to be a market leader in developing technologies to complement those industries thus allowing the country to thrive as a major European power.


    The Nordic countries are rich in mineral resources of which they have converted the revenues into national trust funds. These are used to aid its citizens; many of whom develop skills in trade, innovation, and finance (and now Fintech).


    Though Japan is geographically smaller and is made up of two islands it continues to prosper by becoming a global leader. This comes from its exports of tech innovation, artificial intelligence (robotics), and fishing stocks.
    It even ‘exports’ financial aid (loans) to other countries due to its strong and disciplined monetary policy.


    The US has invested heavily in services, human capital, and innovation – to large extent immigration has played a major role in these areas of growth.

    The emerging economies

    Russia is mineral-rich and has outsourced its intelligence gathering skills, military technology, and training for years.


    China continues to grow and subsidizes its agriculture and manufacturing industries fully utilizing the abundance of manual labour at its disposal.

    China even exports this labour thus gaining influence and soft power enabling Chinese goods and services to be exported more freely to other economies.


    The ability to offer the global economy a form of expertise or goods/service can attribute hugely to each country’s economic wealth.  Israel – military and intelligence; Brazil agriculture and tourism not to mention countries in the Far East – oil and fossil fuels.

    Most African countries obtain their sources of income (though not as much as they should) from natural minerals, agriculture, and tourism.


    Ghana has gold and cocoa; Nigeria – oil; South Africa – gold and many mineral resources; Kenya and Tanzania – tourism. Even a poor country like Zambia has survived because of its coal and coffee reserves.


    Any country without resources or the ability to offer goods and services would have to be more subsistence-like. This usually means having to rely on aid or import goods and services.


    That, however, comes at a price and leads to the country functioning with an unsustainable debt burden.

    Application of policies

    Interesting food for thought by Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati, a famous Indian-born economist in the US:
     
    Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than it exports.
    Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger.
     
    The Japanese on a contrary, save a lot. They do not spend much. Also, Japan exports far more than it imports, has an annual trade surplus of over 100 billion. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.
     
    Modern economists complain that Japanese do not spend, so they do not grow. To force the Japanese to spend, the Japanese government exerted itself, reduced the savings rates, even charged the savers. Even then the Japanese did not spend (habits don’t change, even with taxes, do they?). Their traditional postal savings alone is over $1.2 trillion.
     
    Thus, savings, far from being the strength of Japan, has become its pain.
     

    International trade

    This then gives way to various trading blocs, which over time have been built, broken, or renegotiated when it was not suiting either of the participants.

    The strength of a country’s currency is primarily determined by supply and demand for its sovereign currency. This demand can only be fostered by trade.

    The more the demand for a countries commodity the greater the demand for its currency. This is the medium we use to compensate for transactions. In terms of a country’s monetary policy, it is more of a singular relationship between a government and its banks.

    The banking system

    Banking is the system to which you can place your disposable income (gross income after-tax) in a digital repository. The central (reserve) bank regulates the money supply into the economy ensuring that locally, inflation does not corrode the value of its currency. The central bank controls how much it lends to local banks and at which payable interest rate.


    The central bank is independent of the government. They have their policies shaped by fiscal influences and are under obligation to impact the strength of the economy through its interest rates and exchange rates.
    So, the central bank sets the mandate by which banks offer security interest, loans, and building deposits to help you benefit from their hard-earned cash.


    Banks, however, have a wide range of consumer charges so transacting doesn’t offer much protection against inflation. In some cases, banks offer you zero interest on savings deposited!


    You can therefore understand the frustration of citizens who would like to see increased corporate taxes, especially for banks. This especially as they reward executives with excessive remuneration packages even in a failing economy.

    Financial governance and regulations

    The new wave of Cryptocurrency aims to shake-up these long-standing benefits banks have enjoyed. Benefits such as the bailouts from taxpayers’ money from risk-taking behaviour that nearly brought the global economy to its knees.


    Banks behave like a petulant child knowing well that their ‘parents’ will only mildly reprimand them. This ultimately enables the continuation of behaviour with as they get away with only a slap on the wrist.


    Governments tolerate bank’s excessive salary packages and risk-taking because they play a strategic role in the stability and growth of an economy.

    This is just the tip of the iceberg and paints a big picture of how a country is managed – or indeed can be mismanaged.
  • Life hacks using tech

    Life hacks using tech

    We often do things out of routine without considering if there is an easier way to achieve the same result quicker and even more effectively. In a larger company or organization, this is the job of the business analyst.

    What if we applied this to other daily activities and tasks that shape the way we live?

    This would give us more time to partake in the things we love.
    It’s hard enough for most working-class adults to spend most of their days in the week behind a PC. This is usually followed by hours behind the wheel in traffic or commuting via public transportation.
    This makes the task of going shopping or even attending a doctor’s check-up after an 8-hour work stint more of a burden or chore. Worse over if you must queue further to get the service.


    This very example came to mind when a relative complained about having to go from one doctor to another. When referred to a specialist they had to then book another appointment by calling that specialist’s practice.


    Now granted, this is basically a ´first world problem’. Because having a specialist attend to a back problem after your doctor recommends it during an initial check-up is a luxury. One that third world citizens could only dream of having in the first place!

    Problem-solving scenario

    So, in the case of the referral to a specialist, a simple unified medical system can resolve this. A CRM database linking all the medical practitioners including their schedules can save you the time taken to arrange the new appointment.
    This system would also have a secure high-tech scanning and attachment add-on so that X-rays, scans, diagnoses and the attending doctor’s notes can be attached. All for the attention of the specialist.
    The times for the new appointment can be chosen quickly while the patient is at the doctor’s practice.  When convenient, you could then go to the specialist directly.

    The concept explained

    This is one very basic and rudimentary example of how an automated, centralized software solution can help schedule appointments.
    To achieve maximum optimization the system would clearly require several tests before implementation.

    Too often systems analysts and developers do not consider the end users. The user experience (UX) is the most crucial aspect of software development and should be the first step in building an automated system or it will never achieve its purpose.

    It doesn’t have to be used as a national health solution. This is because centrally planned systems, as mentioned in a previous blog, can lead to inefficiencies.
    It would need to be localized in order to make the system easier to maintain and be updated with contact details.  This especially when information can change on a weekly or monthly basis.


    Naturally, and for decades, health insurance companies have utilized card systems to document patient visits to practitioners. This also helps you and practice to easily claim back medical costs.


    But this only serves a singular function and is laborious to run. What is being proposed in this blog post is something to resolve this in a more secure and decentralized manner.

    Application and security

    Cloud security has become a huge requirement and will be a necessity for all businesses and services in the very near future. Europe, for instance, is implementing compliance laws for storage of data under its new GDPR regulation.


    Countries like Sweden also have similar compliance laws to handle financial (with a lot of banking going mobile) and medical data stored in the cloud.


    So, security would become less of a concern for businesses when it comes to data storage and automated CRM systems in the future.

    Shopping and housing convenience

    smart-home-3096219_640

    The burden of shopping can also be alleviated with initiatives such as cashless processes. We first saw this introduced in Asia (China) and now adopted in the West through Amazon’s new cashless´ and cashier-less grocery stores.


    While shoplifters might not see the innovation in this ‘new method’ of shopping; it saves you time spent queueing to pay and will invariably help resolve the scourge of shoplifting.


    It will, however, require more reliance on technology for surveillance, to monitor and track the scanning of the goods and keep a database of records on a server.


    This helps you with the inventory management and other back-office processes and is managed by an automated ERP solution (and not a person).
    We are still waiting for massive roll-outs of the so-called smart houses equipped with smart chips that help regulate temperature, turn off energy-consuming devices when not in use.


    Some are even equipped with fridges that remind you when food is expiring or simply needs to be replaced.


    Designing such systems would naturally require careful observation into the various steps needed to reach the desired result. Details in every step from how you go from point A (selecting a product); to point Z.


    Point Z being you walking out of the shop with a fully paid item. All without using cash or the need for a cashier.

    Tweaking the solution

    The system analyst’s job would be to engage or even simulate the processes using different test subjects and not just the best practice.
    There is the possibility that you might forget to pay for the milk after checking out of a security area. That could result in an embarrassing scenario for all.


    These are just two examples of countless scenarios that can help us benefit from the use of automation and AI.
    There are many other subtle examples such as in the motor industry. This includes the use of computers to diagnose a ‘sick car’.


    There can be a solution for every bottlenecking problem. Addressing this is now has become a new field of study. Computerization and the use of robotics to handle manual labour and repetitive blue-collar jobs will be new highly lucrative career paths.

    Many new start-ups already exist purely to develop system automation.

    Welcome to the future!

     

  • Conjecture buying

    Conjecture buying

    Before throwing our coins out of the pot or making second guesses about a big crash one must understand how the price of altcoins works.

    The price of some altcoins on the trading market has a lot less to do with its intrinsic value. It is actually what individuals, and most traders (who seek only profit), believe it to be worth.


    So, what is the reason behind the recent downward price spiral? Not much conspiracy to “ruin the cryptocurrency” other than an expected price correction coupled with some external factors.


    Punters including ‘corner shop’ setups inflated the price with rampant price speculation. Speculation based on nothing more than historic (and a short history) rise of the price of the coin from only a few cents to almost $65 000 each (adjusted to 2021 all-time-high price).


    The idea of creating an invention that performs a certain function quite soundly and then limiting its supply displays the financial clout of its creator/s.


    That way, the natural laws of supply and demand would drive up the price of Bitcoin, as it became rarer though needed. It is already becoming harder to attain (through mining) and as it encroaches its supposed 21-million-unit limit.

    “The fact that people keep talking today that bitcoin is below 10,000, it’s a disaster, or bitcoin is above 10,000 and that’s crazy. I think the fact that bitcoin is still alive, and attracting so much attention, is the fact that we’re talking about bitcoin in Davos with a Nobel Prize winner, a central bank governor, and a seasoned investor. I think that’s a powerful tool.” – Jennifer Zhu Scott (Radian Partners principal) – 2018.

     

    External influencers of price

    But there are external factors that come into play that affected its speculative price. Factors such as the rise of other altcoins after the split in its technology.


    Bear in mind that the blockchain code is open to anyone smart enough to develop and run a product on it.
    So, there is also some kind of a substitution effect as newer altcoins become more specific in purpose and faster in executing transactions.


    This results in people switching from Bitcoin to the likes of Ethereum-run newcomers like DigixDAO.
    These new coins are doing well (if the rising price is an indicator) and climbing while others lose both intrinsic a speculative value.


    External factors including market sentiments do in fact play a huge role in determining the demand for the product or service. In the case of Bitcoin, the closing down of some Exchanges in Asia as well as talks of heavier regulation. Such was mentioned at the World Economic Forum in Davos 2018.


    Global leaders pledging to take tougher measures to regulate cryptocurrencies raises cause for concern for people with significant amounts invested.


    So, the usage by criminals, for instance, has created a much-expected reluctance by governments and financial institutions to accept its legitimacy.
    There is also a constant and sometimes subliminal shift in thinking, as trading involves a lot of psychological and emotional play on buying behavior.

    Buyer behaviour

    One such example is the impulse people have when purchasing items that are supposedly on ‘special’ or at a low price.
    A 75% discount on a pair of shoes only tells you that the seller has marked it up so high that they could still make a profit when they knock it down by that much!


    You only notices the price (before and after) the discount. This is without realising that it cost the buyer a fraction of both to produce, package it and get it shipped to the store.

    The true value of ‘the shoe’ lies in the materials (quality) used to produce it for it to last long or give it its level of comfort (its true purpose). That and its appearance of course.


    The “brand name and image” in this case can thus be compared to the speculative aspect of a commodity.
    So, a pair of pumps would sell (at a higher than normal price) if the likes of Beyoncé or Gal Gadot are seen wearing them.
    The same goes for sportspeople and the whole multi-million dollar/euro endorsement deals they carry. Their endorsement of a product thus ‘legitimizes’ it.


    When global leaders, banks, and financial institutions raise concerns about cryptocurrency – it does the very opposite. This sets off-market panic and the selling-off we are currently observing.

    The future of Crypto

    120x600

    So, what will happen from here on? Provided it is not outright outlawed. This is, however, proving to be difficult as even the South Korean government have now softened their tough stance on the Crypto Exchanges.
    This is after they discovered what a tax ‘gold mine’ Crypto exchanges can be. This is then when the speculative buying will begin again.


    Investors who couldn’t purchase Bitcoins at levels above $20 000 will now be seeking an opportunity to enter the market.


    Especially if it dips below the $30000 mark (it is currently $34 000). This with the hope to make some decent profit even if it just pushes back to $50 000.
    Some will hold on and speculate on a return to previous highs – and so the bullish and bearish cycle continues.


    Authorities including the delegates at the Davos talks were in agreement, however, that they will want it at affordable prices. At a level that stays relatively stable, they may even start to consider it as ‘global legal tender’.


    But that will be a long time, especially if traders continue to buy it speculatively to make profits.
    Those awaiting a total crash of Bitcoin, altcoins, or the blockchain, however, would have to hold their breaths.


    The technology is indeed a game-changer and has already been widely adopted. It will only change form to be partially or fully regulated.

    The core functions of blockchain-based currency will remain its main contribution to the evolution of banking and ‘money’ transfers.
  • Peer-to-peer service

    Peer-to-peer service

    History has taught us that a fully centrally controlled government system fails completely – well, in the long run.

    The idea of a communistic system has its merits and could still work in some sectors of our economies. It, however, omits the very thing that was provided to us as human beings – choice.


    Knowledge is empowering – but the power to do the things you would like to do effortlessly without fear of error.


    This shared knowledge emanates from scientific, biological, or financially proven theories and tests.


    They can help you make the right investments. Such as saving money on the best deals, obtaining rights to social benefits, travel to great destinations. Or simply just helping other people achieve their personal and spiritual goals.

    Monopolistic behaviour

    Those that cling onto knowledge though, serve their interests alone and should not be revered but rather shunned for power-hogging.


    Sadly, some governments monopolize access to information, basic services, resources, and even education to create an artificial demand for ´their services’.


    This forms the basis of a centrally controlled or outright communistic state.
    In business, this is a common practice of a monopoly to control the price of their good or service as they are the only ones providing it.


    The quality of that good or service, however, can and will be determined by them and them alone!


    Can you imagine then, based on the previous sentence, a situation that only governments have this power to dictate a basic service such as healthcare or education for you?


    Scary thought and if you look at most developing countries, the evidence of this is overwhelmingly sad.


    But we are not here to talk about the governments as there would be several cases to point out and this is not a political platform.
    Case in point, the concept of a centrally controlled system nevertheless is less efficient and prone to failure to disseminate the very items it sets out to provide.


    Deploying software by a global firm like IBM, via a centrally stored-located server would be absurd because the infrastructure of the recipient regions or end-users might not be well equipped to handle it.
    So one begs to question, why would you do it for social services for instance?

    Decentralized systems

    Decentralizing a system can improve efficiency because it gives options to get the best quality possible. It also removes power from one or a few providers and shares it equally amongst other stakeholders.


    This way all will stand to mutually benefit from a working system indirectly rather than just the state collecting monetary compensation or tax and deciding what to do with it alone.

    Centralized systems can learn from the blockchain to efficiently provide services.

    eMule


    Let’s take the now “illegal” peer-to-peer file-sharing and downloading software such as eDonkey/eMule (developed by Microsoft).
    Or take BitTorrent for example
    you could with them, build together any file by downloading “bits” of the file by many connected servers or PCs  (peers).


    This system leads to faster downloads and allows one to source from the best quality of the available digital bits to get the data to form the e-book, music track, or movie that you were after.


    Leaving your download running would enable others to get the files you have already amassed (you reciprocally upload the files). The cycle continues until everyone acquires the same great quality file from the best ‘seeds’.


    Downloading from a sole server for the same product, on the contrary, could crash the server.


    Let’s not forget the delays due to operational differences in time-zones, or complete failure to download if the file source is corrupted or the file quality is bad.

    Application of decentralized systems

    Naturally, the entertainment industry put a stop to this because it meant that people could attain their copyrighted material.

    Many fines and warnings were dished out to individuals as well as companies hosting the sharing servers.


    You can, however, still access them via carefully planned entry gateways to hide your IP address using VPNs. Those of you who are IT experts can use (old-school) backend protocols like FTP.

    BitTorrent -> Bitcoin…Torrent -> Tor ..anyone seeing a pattern here?

    There is now even a new digital currency designed to help artists curb piracy and reward the artists for their work.
    Such protective software is already in the pipeline thanks to blockchain technology.


    Decentralizing services such as money transfers in the advent of Cryptomania removes power from regulated financial institutions. They tend to charge high fees for sometimes slow and error-prone services because they can.

    Conclusion

    So, swiftness and security are a prime reason for the adoption the Blockchain technology. Everything else such as the price of digital alternative coins or ‘altcoins’ boils down to basic supply and demand for it.

    Governments and other institutional service providers can take a leaf out of the blockchain technology tree and its true intention.

    The aim is to decentralize the provision of a service to give everyone access to it. This will reduce associated costs of using it and improve efficiency!
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