Tag: Finance

Manage your own trading portfolio

The natural inclination for anyone that hears about a new means of making money is: “how do I get involved?” It is therefore only right to not just dangle the carrot in front of faces but also to share tips.

Despite the fact that investing in shares, securities and now Cryptocurrency, as mentioned in the previous blog, comes with a very high risk.

Your portfolio can be managed carefully to minimize the risk and here is how. Before we progress, please note that this is not fail-safe advice but only a guide, so do take heed of our disclaimer.

Preparation

As a rule, this applies to any website offering advice. We would like to warn you that just like eating regularly at a fast food joint – the risks are clear.

So if you know your appetite for risk or have a lack of financial discipline and take this as information gathering to enhance your awareness.

Additionally, we would like to reiterate that running and maintaining your personal investment portfolio requires practice before jumping straight in.

The first step is to identify the types of securities available. Research new articles and the respective financial statements. Once you’ve done that, start a free trial with an online trading account.

There are several institutions offering online trading (each with its criteria for entry and for trading).

Banks also offer this service but might charge a monthly service fee for it so the first step is to do a little shopping around.

Not all online trading platforms are offered globally so one must find one that follows the financial compliance laws in your country/continent or territory.

Taxation

This is important because, like any other investment, your profits from trading are subject to tax (tax evasion is fraud). The type of tax, in this case, is Capital Gains Tax (CGT).

This is payable as a percentage of up to 25% of your profits once you have closed a position and cashed out from the trading account.

The CGT would have to be declared and paid for directly to your local authorities when you fill out your tax returns.

There is still a grey area as to whether Cryptocurrencies are to be classified as taxable assets – which might work to your advantage.

In Germany apparently, if you hold (without selling) Crypto on an online platform for more than a year – you are not liable for taxes.

Nevertheless, be sure to factor CGT into your calculations, and don’t get caught out with that!

The act of trading

The actual trading itself requires some strategy. you should be including a combination of high risk and lower risk asset classes in your portfolio. ETFs and Equities are more on the “lower risk” side as they are purchased on a long-term outlook.

Purchasing equities in well-grounded tech companies such as Amazon; Microsoft; Google; telecommunications and energy companies are considered as long buying. We highly recommend this option.

However, while you sit on those over the months or years you would still want to make some short-term gains. This is where your high-risk high returns securities (Forex, Indices, Options, and Cryptos) come into play.

As a rule of thumb, your high-risk assets should only be between 15-20% or less of your overall portfolio.

This way any losses incurred can be absorbed or regained over the following few months allowing you to accumulate more stable/longer-term equities.

Like a business, your trading portfolio can grow exponentially if you continue to re-invest your gains-profits.

Your gains made in the short-term can be used to purchase the next long-term security. But n case of emergencies, they can be withdrawn to cover other needs (holidays, unexpected debts). It is better to regard your collective portfolio as a long-term asset.

Four quick basic steps to getting into trading.

Step 1:

Decide on an amount outside your other investment vehicles (property, savings, mutual funds, or bonds) that you would set aside for trading. Again, this must only be a fraction of your overall investment.

Most online trading platforms require a minimum amount to open a trading account of between 50 – 200 USD/EURs (you can use that amount for trading).

You will need to ensure you have a good enough Laptop/PC and broadband with all the required security software installed. You can also use your mobile phone for short-term securities such as for binary options etc.

Platforms such as IQOption and are available via Apps for phones and tablets as well.

Step 2:

Before choosing the platform, make sure you understand the costs to be incurred while trading (it’s wise to compare options).

One main charge is commission. You pay it with a purchase of an online traded asset, interest from leverage (margin trading) to purchase the asset, deposit fees, and some even charge for withdrawal of funds.

So, while one platform may charge a 0% commission on trading with some securities, they may offer other securities that require leverage or just charge a higher deposit fee. They are after all there to make money as well.

Use your free trial to work out which pricing model suits your trading needs in addition to learning the market trends and getting a handle on technical analysis tools.

Click here to see a video below of one of such tools.

As part of the service, you would also get access to online chat, a personal assistant to call during office hours about anything to do with your account/portfolio and the option to upgrade your account. So you are never on your own really!

Some trading platforms offer you benefits (in the form of cashable tokens or direct cash commission) for trading profitably, referring someone onto the platform and when they make money.

One such platform called eToro is known as a social trading platform.
It allows you to “shadow” successful traders and pays “leaders” handsomely in return for the number of “followers” you acquire.

Many platforms like IQOption will reward you if the person you referred makes profitable sales of their assets. This comes in the form of a direct cash commission paid to their account.

Step 3:

So now that you have familiarised yourself with the tools, and have analyzed the technical aspects of the platform, you can begin real-time trading. This means switching from a trial to a paid account. You will need to provide your banking details (chequing account, credit card, or digital wallet). This is where deposits and withdrawals will be made from.

Most platforms, which are usually located in your geographical region, allow you to pay from your local (debit) bank account, a PayPal, or other types of online money transfer services.

The next step, which is important for security from both parties as well as for the financial and monetary authorities, is account verification.

You will need multiple forms of identity: passport, proof of residence, social security or tax reference number, and of course contact details such as email and mobile (cell) phone number for various forms of authentication (e.g. two-step authentication to protect your account from unauthorized access or in case of password resets).

Once completed and have been approved/verified you are good to go! This can all take 30 mins (and processed online) if you have everything in place.

Step 4:

The final step to running your own successful trading portfolio is to exercise the skill of patience. Learn to watch the market trends and do not act on impulse.

The rule is simple: buy low and hold. Selling should only be done if you have credible information on the impending total meltdown of a company you own shares in. Otherwise, like a rollercoaster, be prepared to watch your stocks go up and down.

When it comes to the risk of a downward trend you will have the tools on most of the platforms to help you control losses from price movements automatically (Stop Loss). with this tool, you don’t have to always be glued to your PC to monitor the longer-term securities.

Binary Options (illegal in some countries) are different though and require quick execution of trades. Have a look at the first section of the resources page to familiarise yourself with how high-risk securities work.

But for all others, you will have tools such as stop-loss orders, take profit/limit orders, pending orders, and trailing stop orders. These will help you protect your profits and prevent colossal losses.
Go forth and make a fortune – or at least some passive income and a decently rewarding long-term investment supplement!

Start with a demo trading account now!

RISK WARNING: YOUR CAPITAL MIGHT BE AT RISK.

8 January 2018
An investor state of mind

As an Arsenal Football Club fan, one has the natural tendency to follow the progress of both present and past players of the revered North London title-winning institution.

The prestige of playing for the club comes along with all the bell and whistles required to make life living in the small yet expensive hub city often dubbed to be the centre of modern Europe, a breeze.

It was rather sad to read about the unfortunate fortune of a former player who had a big heart and passion for the beautiful game. He was, however, a bit aloof and care-free on the pitch. It turns out this was a character trait that perhaps extended to his financial affairs.

He was recently reported as sleeping on the couch of a friend without a penny to his name. How can that happen, you might ask?

His weekly wages were a reported 50 000 Great Britain Pounds! So how did he go from earning that figure, to being dead broke?

Such a bad turn of fortune is not uncommon for celebrities, qualified professionals, and lottery winners. This can be explained by a simple lack of ‘investor mentality’.

The right state of mind

This mindset can be instilled in us from a relatively young age if you have had the luxury of growing up with parents, teachers or a mentor who imparts this knowledge to you. It can also be learned later in life – often the hard way.

Similar to starting a business, the biggest barrier to entry into any form of investment is always the initial capital. Once you have it, coupled with the investor mentality, it’s hard to fail financially in life: just ask the current sitting American president!

Now as obvious as this sounds, you need to put in money to make money. That is why investing, for instance, is mainly carried out on a large scale by banks – with your money!

What you do with the money when you inherit it, win it, or save up from a weekly or monthly project-based income is more important than just having it in the first place.

Wouldn’t you agree that money comes then often goes faster than you realize? Having a grasp on why it leaves so fast is what we should be paying attention to.

Let’s firstly be sensible about this – investing is always a long-term project. A desire to reap short-term gains or having such a mentality is paramount to risky gambling or betting against the odds.

“Patience is an investor’s game – if you don’t have any, don’t bother with the mechanisms that don’t lock you in for a few months to enable you to realize a return.”

Enough of the rhetorical questions and statements. Let’s briefly look at a few investment vehicles in the true fashion of Debunqed.

Savings

This is the least risky investing vehicle and tends to suit patient investors. Usually, it is for you if yo are the kind that loves to watch paint dry. 🙂

Your only risk would be using a non-government backed bank for it. The higher the amount you invest, the better the interest rate you get. So this basically benefits the already wealthy. Some savings accounts are even known to offer you 0% or fractional decimal interest rates which are calculated nominally.

So it begs the question – why would you even consider putting your money in savings? Well, using this investment strategy helps with a good credit score. That comes in handy when you apply for loans or obtaining financial backing to start your new business. So they do have some use.
Risk level: Little to none.

Property (residential or commercial)

This is the golden nest egg of investing – that is if you can raise the bond for property or inherit one.

Property is one asset class that tends to only appreciate and relatively well over the years depending on what is happening in the area/town or economy.
Getting in is the difference between having a spender or an investor’s mentality.

What do we mean by this? Well, if you can save up for a deposit to buy a brand-new luxury car, you could and should do the same for a house.

That way each “monthly rent” payment goes towards something you will eventually own. You could also buy-to-rent. The income generated from the tenant (rent) will help you pay off the bond.

Consider the appreciation value of property in your local area over the years. But like anything valuable, you must be prepared to maintain its upkeep – the costs will be more than your weekly carwash.

In the long-run when you realize the greater future value, you could even downgrade to have some extra cash to spend. You could then get that car of your dreams or travel and see the world.
Risk level: Low to moderate.

Share/Stocks

The days of stockbrokers are numbered. Trading firms and hedge fund companies are slowly being replaced by AI computers. These days, you can take full charge of a portfolio of equities, CFDs, Futures, Commodities, Options, Forex and Cryptocurrency directly from your laptop.

There are a number of online trading platforms out there so it is a good idea to go with the accredited ones.

One of the key benefits is that they all offer a free trial – which often gives you a mock .account. That’s a great way to learn about the tools and the above-mentioned markets.

There are aspects you need to pay attention to. One of them is leverage trading . It is essentially borrowing money to trade (payable with interest) – a double whammy if or when things go south for you.
Risk level: High to Excessive.

Mutual funds

As the name suggests it is derived from a pool of funds from a specific institution or industry. Mutual funds are offered by institutions as a supplement to retirement plans (pensions and annuities).

They offer you a return (often a stable monthly or quarterly pay-out) based on a fixed term that you agree on with your portfolio manager.
The offering institution would then apply your pooled monthly contributions into a diverse portfolio to spread your risk exposure.

This, however, requires the attention of a (paid) portfolio manager and is thus susceptible to the principal-agent problem.
Risk level: Low to moderate.

Venture Capitalism/Angel funds

If you have some spare cash and don’t want to bear the risk and burden of running a business yourself, you can fund other people you believe will be successful.

In this arrangement, confidence is placed by you on the owner and the offering. You can then state the terms for the release of your funds such as a quarterly return on investment or a larger stake in the business and its profits.

Rapper Nas is known for his investment in Silicon Valley start-ups as a Venture Capitalist – which gives him a share in the companies he backs with the hope of it growing exponentially to increase that shareholding’s worth.

Celebrities and sports stars usually have the capital to diversify their portfolio by investing in or starting up a new business. One such notable venture was the one where Rapper/Producer Dre’s Beats brand got bought by Apple for three billion USD.
Risk level: Moderate to high.

Rare items

Though not an easy commodity to come by because often the initial value can be quite high (unless of course, you are lucky to find an item at a junk sale or low-key auction), rare commodities can also form part of your future financial security.

Rare coins tend to take a long time to mature in value. Likewise, a painting can appreciate quickly in value if the artist’s “interesting” background comes to light in the press for good or bad reasons.

As an example, a rare Nelson Mandela coin once sold for 100 000 USD while he was still living. So, one can only imagine what the few in circulation are worth now.

Read more about rare coins here.

A rummage around old antique shops and secondhand sales can reap rewards if you know what you’re looking for.
Risk level: Low to moderate.

Bonds

These are long-term interest-bearing certificates issued primarily by governments (via monetary policy) but also by certain large public institutions.

Bonds give you a guarantee of a future value using a specially controlled interest rate. They are usually issued with fixed terms and can only be accessed after 3 to 10 years.

This locks you in, to hold the bond for the agreed period regardless of which way the interest rates are going.

Naturally the higher the rates the better for you. As a cautionary note, you will be subjected to the regulatory activities and monetary policies of the country in which you hold the bonds. Choose where you buy very wisely.
and research your product.

Accessing bond markets is also not easy and you may be subject to complex rules pertaining to the country, residence status and your credit score, and so on.

It is really for the long-term investor and can be used in the same way mutual funds tend to be applied, to supplement one’s retirement annuity package.
Risk level: Moderate to high.

All things investment

You need to remember the importance of imparting this knowledge to our youth, friends, and family so as to continue the cycle.

The simple answer being: Education. The lack of it is one of the fundamental causes of poverty.

A number of celebrities and sports stars have overlooked it’s true importance so as to follow their true passion and skill. This is not necessarily a bad thing. If you have the right people around you to help you manage your finances.

It was reported he signed documents without knowing the full content and liability of what was being presented to him. It was also said that she would even bring paperwork to the football club’s training ground for him to sign.

Let’s be honest, we don’t know the full facts but there is a lesson. This “wife” character could be anyone that you entrust with managing your finances so, be wise as to who you choose to oversee your accounts.

Make a plan

Having a grasp of your assets (if any) less your liabilities is the first place to start. Once you know what you have or don’t have, you can then set goals.
Think about what you need to do to achieve a net worth that will sustain you for the long term.

Granted we all must pay bills. We will write down that part of our income but we need to focus on what is being done with the money that is left once your overheads are met.

Educate yourself (skip a binge session on Netflix). Take a deeper dive into the investment vehicles briefly spoken about. The resources page will provide more comprehensive details about all seven vehicles discussed.

It will also guide you on where to go to find out more once you have decided and which vehicle or combo would fit your investment type and appetite for risk.

Make 2018 a sensible year finance-wise and happy investing!

1 January 2018
The Big ‘Crypture’

I’m not quite sure if anyone has given some careful thought – in the heat of this ‘Crypto mania’. More specifically, have you ever considered the ramifications of the blockchain and its impact on the global economy?

This is an attempt to perform a calculated prophecy, based on the conversations we’ve had with like-minded visionaries.

An introspection into this ‘much-talked-about technology’ has led to endless possibilities.

Presently, every Tom, Anastasia, and Patel are pursuing short-term gains. You are all probably investigating ways in which they too can “cash in” by investing in new digital currencies.

This frenzy is mainly driven by how some of the altcoins are performing in value. Some digital coins are rising as much as 1000% in a ‘Crypto bull-run’. But the real appeal for digital “currencies” comes from the security, speed, and cost of transactions they facilitate.

A case for Cryptos

Most of you are understandably looking at it solely from an investment point of view – after all, greed never sleeps.

Also, let’s not forget the anonymity it affords one – great for criminals and money launderers. Because of the increased risk, monetary authorities and regulatory bodies will make a case for tighter controls.

They may even push for the outright banning of this new currency altogether.

Retail banks, are currently entrusted with the movement of your funds (electronic transfers) and are governed by economic monetary policy. This happens under the watchful eye of big brother – the Reserve Bank.

These commercial banks are the “primary targets” so to say of the blockchain. They were, therefore, the first to react by investing or attempting to start up their own blockchains.

Such projects, however, prove to be expensive and still risky ventures given that no-one knows the source and destination of the blockchain.

Banks are nevertheless having to either make quick decisions about whether they get on board or partner with developers of Cryptos such as Ripple).

We also look at other financial institutions such as credit lending facilities and money transfer institutions. They are also are naturally in partnerships with the banks. They, however, stand to get wiped out by the blockchain if you think about it.

Really, who would want to cough up a 10% commission or a transfer fee for money sent abroad to your family? You could simply use something like IOTA which, by the way, is as a Crypto hovering around 3-5 USD (at time of publishing) per unit.

It is capable of transacting very quickly and securely with no transaction fees!

And how so you may ask? Those details are listed clearly on their respective websites.

Peer review functionality

It is the belief that the plan for Cryptos’ was to enable anyone to have access to a shared (decentralized) peer-to-peer type service that enables the secure transacting of literally – anything!

You can look at the blockchain working in the same manner as BitTorrent or E-Mule (for those who remember that far back). In the way, that data, albeit mostly bootlegged music, videos, and software, was distributed and downloaded on the web.

“Blockchain is essentially a quick peer-to-peer transaction of digital currency”

The value of Cryptocurrencies is now driven by how well it works as a system. You must look more closely at the added value it can offer society from a functional, practical, convenient, and of course, cost-saving perspective.

A real threat?

So, what does that then mean for companies like Visa, Mastercard, or even a digital banking app like PayPal?

You can also imagine the implications for investment banks and their traders. That is if markets such as the very volatile foreign exchange (Forex) are completely abandoned and substituted by Cryptos.

There are now many an exchange for Cryptos in the appearing monthly.
You will be able to switch or trade Bitcoin for Ethereum, Litecoin, IOTA, or Ripple.

Handy if you need them quickly for a specific transaction, country, or product that accepts digital currency.

More practical uses of Crypto

The purpose of ‘Cryptos’ running on the blockchain is, therefore, to change the way we transact and pay for goods and services.

The aim was to make it a ‘form of exchange’ but also to provide the resources for you to “mine” and own them. This can be an alternative income generator alleviating the need for job creation. It can also be a substitute vocation for those you who were perhaps made redundant by automation and AI.

So, once you mine the currency (provided you have the infrastructure and pay the overheads), you can use it to get the things you need or must pay for.
Your electricity bill, for example, can then be processed and paid for directly from an IOTA-holding wallet.

Speaking of electricity, we came across a very insightful article (referenced in the resource section) focusing on the impact of energy consumption that global rampant mining will cause the price of electricity and the environment.

Coupled with the switch to electric cars this could surely force you to invest in better ways to generate electricity. That is if we are to maintain sensible levels of sustainability.

Whether the price of electricity goes up or down will be determined by how quickly energy providers globally will be able to meet this surging demand.

We can surely be in a position to observe the upcoming impact on electricity consumption from next year.

More and more of the global population are beginning to mine altcoins for themselves.

As we head into the festive season and bonuses are being paid out, be responsible for how you splash out. Do your research first – even if it means waiting a year to see how it all plays out.

22 December 2017
Globalization 2.0

The implementation of globalization has not been without its major flaws. Abolishing it, however, is paramount to anti-socialist behaviour or looking inwards. This concept is against the tendencies of human nature.

If you read up on any definition of globalization, you will see that the intention was always genuine. The need to integrate and collaborate for the mutual benefit of nations.

It can, however, like any product (like knowledge), be exploited out of selfish desires and lead to exploitation.

Of course, it also doesn’t mean that globalization must apply to every sector of your economy. Some inward investment is always healthy. It should, however, not lead to extreme nationalism for a fear of loss of national identity.

Trust issues

The problem, like many others, lies in the hands of politicians who are controlled and dictated to by a handful of large corporations. These ‘corps’ have one and only self-interest – profit, power, and control.

The main concern for sovereign governments is that ‘giving up’ or sharing one’s technological, innovative, or manufacturing secrets to other countries. The premise is that this would make them ‘vulnerable’.

The real issue lies in a lack of trust – leading to the notion: “I will not let you know how I do it because you may use it against me – in trade or war”.

Despite the existence of supposedly ‘compartmentalized’ trading blocs and free trade areas like NAFTA, EU, ECOWAS, SADC, etc, the rate of globalization has sped up significantly in the past decade.

This is due to boundless advances in information technology as accurately predicted by Neoclassical Growth Theory.

Information technology has now given us valuable new tools to identify and engage in economic activity.

Tech provides access to and faster, more informed analysis of information, transfers of assets, and collaboration.

The impact on finance

A globalized world means that with the aid of technology, you can buy and sell shares of an Italian firm from a desktop in Namibia!

You would then only have to deal with the commissions and transaction fees (capital gains tax) locally pertaining to your online trades.

And think about it, on a micro-level. If globalization is entirely a bad concept then no-one should be using Amazon, eating MacDonalds, or watching Netflix in protest. Hard to imagine, isn’t it?

We must praise its positive outcomes and work hard against the negative impacts. The negative ones are also giving rise to a new era of extreme nationalism or populism.

You can only do your bit by promoting and backing policy-makers who can enforce good trade laws. This would force both local and international competitors to play by the same rules.

Penalties for financial misconduct should be a lot greater to deter exploitation. Rather, perpetrators still get the proverbial slap on the wrist.

The creative destruction of the financial system will be brought about by cryptocurrency and its underlying blockchain technology.

Depending on its uptake, and whether the authorities can legitimize its legality, we may see individuals and governments using decentralized currencies.

The Venezuelan president is investigating the concept of a national cryptocurrency dubbed ´Petro´. They would use it to alleviate dependency on (heavily interest-ridden) loans.

10 December 2017
A digital force awakens

When it comes to providing means of storing, sending, and receiving money, banks and their affiliated institutions, have enjoyed a monopoly for centuries.

They (especially central banks which allegedly are owned powerful families) have the authority to influence countries and their governments. We will not go into the level of control as this paves the way for conspiracy theories which though not proven – are not farfetched.

So, it’s only expected that when some new and unknown entity threatens their prosperity, they start to react.

Blockchain frenzy

How banks are responding is evident by how they are fervently building their own blockchains. This, however, defeats the purpose of a having decentralized system.

Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies get their appeal not just because they are very secure. But because unlike fiat money, they are not heavily regulated and can be mathematically restricted.

The 21 million unit limit on Bitcoin by default places it closer to the status of gold (which is also not infinite). But what happens when all are mined in 2041?
Bitcoin’s current ‘value’ of over $30 000 (adjusted), could move up again, according to the traditional laws of supply and demand as it becomes rare.

To unlock more value the creators will split it again. The first major splits (forks) gave rise to Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash. Both cryptocurrencies are racing to newer heights daily.

How banks operate

Now back to the banks – they make money from our deposits and these deposits are backed up by our reserve banks.
Reserve banks lend retail banks money which they essentially just print. The banks must ‘turn it’ and pay it back with interest (repo rate).

So, technically we ‘empower’ banks by depositing our money so they can invest the funds in all sorts of mechanisms. Such mechanisms include the credit and loans to you, your businesses, equities, and property.

Then, they also invest in high-risk investment vehicles like currency trading, derivatives (futures). They are essentially the biggest regulated and legal Ponzi-schemes. They also make a significant amount of the daily fees they charge you.

A quick example

Let’s quickly put things into context. A bank with over a million customers transacting daily. Let’s say they charge you a 10 cent (conservative figure) transaction fee for depositing, withdrawing from another bank, or an intra-bank transfer.

They then make 0.10c x 1 000 000 = 100 000 units of the currency on the day. This equates to 1,2 million Euros, Dollars, Rands, or Yen annually. And that is just off your transactional fees!

Then they also charge you monthly service/maintenance fees. Those are to cover the convenience of you having an account and, for services like online banking.

This is what cryptocurrencies can potentially wipe away from banks we all go the digital currencies route. Granted, how you acquire and transfer Cryptocurrencies are not as straightforward as receiving paper money – yet.

That, coupled with the stigma around ‘Cryptos’, means there is still a barrier to entry for the ‘open-source’ monetary system.

Banks will try and bring about their own blockchains to address security concerns around making transactions. For them, however, it would still be business as usual when it comes to the charges.

Birth of Fintech

Some newer financial institutions, however, are already progressing in the favour of you and me – one such is the European based N26 Bank.

We often end up paying for things all month without even having to go to an ATM. It works as a traditional bank would, however, allows the (smart) card to be used as a credit card (backed by Mastercard) would.

This allows you to quickly purchase goods online, book events, flights ticket, and accommodation. Basically, all things you still can’t do with your debit card.

In countries like Sweden and Estonia, card and digital systems have been a thing for a long time now.

Some of these Fintechs are adopting or partnering with Cryptos companies to deliver their services. One such as the relationship the one between a German bank and the crypto Ripple.

Click image to purchase Ripple here

It would be interesting to see what governments and financial institutions do to ‘protect’ their payment systems. Likewise, it will be equally fascinating to observe how they adapt in general to the new digital era upon us.

25 November 2017
Elasticity and Sin Tax

We can change our dependence on certain goods and services so that we don’t take too high a knock when their prices fluctuate.

Life is about making choices. As rational beings, we tend to make choices that benefit our wealth and well-being.

But some choices have to be made on our behalf — especially when it comes to the provision of commonly used goods and services.

What is elsaticity?

The prices of government-regulated products such as fuel, alcohol, and cigarettes are examples. How we react to the price change (whether an increase or decrease) is referred to in economics as elasticity.

It is a general term for a ratio of change and scientifically attempts to capture your sensitivity to price movements. It is the percentage change in the quantity demanded (or supplied) of something brought about by a percentage change in its price.

A 10% increase in the price of bread, resulting in a decrease in the quantity demanded by 8%, means your price elasticity of demand for bread is 0,8.

The ratio is expressed as a number between negative infinity and infinity, with one being the midpoint. The number has no unit — it is not expressed in centimetres, litres or as a percentage.

But that number tells us a great deal. If it is higher than one, the product is said to be elastic. This means the quantity you demand responds strongly to price changes.

Anything under one is inelastic. This means a price change doesn’t affect your demand for it much.

When a product is said to be unit elastic, it means the change in quantity demanded is equal to the change in price.

Practical examples

On the commercial side, the concept becomes more useful when formulating and studying consumer trends. It is especially beneficial to brand managers who need to set prices for their products while paying attention to sales.

Income elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of the quantity of a good to changes to your disposable income.

Generally, the more inelastic the product, the easier it is for firms to maximize profit by increasing their price.

Taking advantage of addictions

If you’ve ever wondered why the prices of your alcohol and cigarettes — commonly referred to as “sin taxes” — always rise, it is because they are inelastic.

If you were addicted to nicotine, for instance, you would rather cut down on movie tickets to still afford a box of smokes. This makes you inelastic to the increase in cigarette prices.

Likewise, we industrialize, we become heavily reliant on oil. Our dependence on oil was reiterated in the latest Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) oil outlook, which paints a gloomy picture. The West’s demand for oil is predicted to surpass the available supply in the coming years.

Globally, over the decade of 1994-2004, about five times more passenger cars appeared on our roads than commercial vehicles. In South Africa, alone, commercial vehicle sales for July were up 13% in the same period.
Concurrently, increases in lorry volumes worldwide have been observed.

The more inelastic your product is, the easier it is for you to slap your consumers with high price increases.

At the time of writing in 2007, the oil price once hovered around $73/barrel and threatened to reach a record high of $80*

Concluding remarks

By using other means of energy (oil substitutes, wind, electricity, and solar) we could reduce our reliance on oil. this would make it less inelastic.

In South Africa, for example, using trains for cargo transport would ease our dependence on petrol and diesel-powered commercial vehicles.

Carmaker Tesla recently launched its future truck and alleged fastest production car in a big to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels. Tesla is gaining steady ground to introduce its electric cars to the world and has surpassed the net worth of Ford.

18 November 2017
The not-so mysterious world of cryptocurrency

Warren Buffett once referred to financial derivatives as “weapons of mass destruction” . He warned that they are detrimental to the global economy and financial markets.

Cryptos have a way of creating something supposedly of intrinsic value out of nothing. This is as dangerous as propaganda that leads to conflict or promotes struggle.

They are backed up by a cloud of non-regulatory policies by states who themselves, still traditional monetary policy measures.

And this is despite their full understanding of the instruments of financial wizardry.

In economics, the term creative destruction, however, has a paradoxically positive meaning. It is perfectly suited to the new form of “crypto”- currency (Bitcoin) that is not as mystic as it seems.

A brief history

Money is a concept that probably also met up with resilience when it was first supposedly introduced by the Chinese. They started carrying folding money during the Tang Dynasty (A.D. 618-907).

The instability generated by uncontrolled usage and denomination, however, soon led to rapid inflation. This prompted the Chinese to drop it, only for it to be taken up again later when it got stabilized by the adoption and use by the West.

They developed paper money as an offshoot of the invention of block printing. Block printing is like stamping.

Ironically that very same term ‘block’ is the foundation behind the Bitcoin – which is generated using blockchains (digital public ledger).

We won’t get into the mechanics of Bitcoins. We will, however, attempt to increase awareness on why and how this new payment method could cause positive ripples in the financial global system.

What is Bitcoin?

As per Wikipedia, and as simple as it can get in terms of a description: Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency and a digital payment system.

It was supposedly invented by an unknown programmer, or a group of programmers, under the alias Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009.

Though the anonymity creates an element of distrust about the agenda of its creators, it is surprisingly more transparent than derivatives.

Cryptocurrency uses a system of cryptography (encryption) to control the creation of digital ‘coins’ and to verify millions of transactions.

These transactions include are a basic movement of funds between two digital wallets and get submitted to a public ledger and await confirmation through encryption.

This video is a great and simple way for you to understand the above because it is best understood when explained as a larger picture. Check out this useful and basic video on Bitcoins.

That is quite a feat worth acknowledging because 11 years of existence is nothing compared to gold’s multiple century reigns.

Now 2009 was not long ago considering the Bitcoin is now ‘worth’ well over $20 000 each (updated to 2021 levels).

For centuries, gold has been our standard of trade or backing of all types of currency until it was ‘uncoupled’ by Nixon in 1971.

The future of trade and commerce is in the digital sphere – are you in the know?

Potential currency?

For something to become the standard measure or mode of trade it, however, needs to be stable. So, while the technology behind Bitcoin (the Blockchain) is relatively sound, its actual price needs to find its firm nesting.

Established currencies trade on markets via exchange rates with relatively minuscule increments of change in price and value. In comparison, Bitcoin can jump in value by $1000 within (minutes or seconds) – prompting skepticism about its stability.

Google Engineer Ray Kurzweil, who is revered as a “prophet” for his mysterious predictions, such inconsistency undermines the cryptocurrency’s value as a currency.

The aim is nevertheless to relieve our dependency on money or more so, the iron grip and often abusive control that some banking institutions have over consumers.

You could even argue that the recent surge in its price is being fuelled by agents of the traditional banking industry. They naturally feel threatened by the fact that they may not fully understand it and its inherent potential. So they (cash-flush) could inflate it for an inevitable ‘burst’.

But the currency though very volatile in its movement has remained buoyant. It has now held for well above $10 000 for sustained periods since its inception. Gold is now approx. $1,900.

Bitcoins provide more guarantee than financial derivatives especially because of their open-source approach to its existence and use.

Complexity

The tricky part is simply getting to grips with the vastly abundant information about it and how you could even generate it.

It is still a great backup ‘of a backup’. We rely on technology and more specifically the Internet for transactions and the associated traffic for our daily lives.

A simultaneous crash of a few major servers, however, could send it all tumbling back into the digital abyss. But as with money and other forms of currencies, only time will tell.

Bitcoin will just have to further prove its resilience and stability in the long run.

Getting attention

It is certainly not a ‘fly by night’ thing because it has sparked the interests of both public and private institutions globally. China even made a bold move to block the Bitcoin market from trading within its borders at some stage.

China is notorious for blocking things that stem from the ‘West’ only to later introduce it under their own control to protect their financial sector.

So, we can be rest assured that the creator is not Chinese! Sweden has allegedly passed legislature to make it an accepted form of currency.

Currently, banks and governments are frantically creating their own sets of blockchains to ensure they are not caught off-guard.

Read more about the implications of Cryptocurrency on the financial sector.

Bitcoin also gets its collective strength (intrinsic value) from its limited quantity in circulation (19 million out of a finite 21 million).

Spillover effects

Bitcoin has also paved the way for others such as Ethereum, (mostly used for smart contracts and by developers) which is also seeing good growth.
Then there is Litecoin, which was formed as part of a controversial yet civil split from the originators of Bitcoin to use ‘variant technologies’.

All these platforms (companies) now use the blockchain to create all types of cryptocurrencies to capitalize on the spoils of this digital revolution.

There are also several institutions that are offering late-comers a chance to benefit from the spoils of using and investing in digital currency.

Naturally, all these schemes with their investment packages would require a ‘buy-in’ and marketing to attract more takers.

Such Crypto ‘companies’ are likened to a pyramid scheme and subject to many investigations by fiscal and criminal authorities.
But that is how Bitcoin, its promoters, and the market were initially treated.

Interested? Check out the following useful links to their official websites to help you get started.

You can learn more about them, about mining them, or simply buy some Bitcoin here.

RISK WARNING: YOUR CAPITAL MIGHT BE AT RISK WHEN INVESTING IN CRYPTOCURRENCIES.

7 November 2017

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