Tag: fintech

  • BTC running low on battery?

    BTC running low on battery?

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    Good explanation of what the declining BTC dominance means for other Alts

    On August 11 2018, the Bitcoin dominance level (market share) touched 50% for the first time in 2018. However, the move didn’t come amid a Crypto market rally. In fact, the cryptocurrency space has been in free fall until mid-August, moving in a sideways trend since then.

    Read more via BTC running low on battery?

  • How countries operate

    How countries operate

    At times, we can all become frustrated by political agendas, misfortunes, and perceived lack of planning by various governments around the world. As a result, not quite often see the bigger picture – or the economics of how countries work.

    Naturally, the political fracases provide fuel for media companies who in turn bombard us with their 24-hour news cycles. But we need to understand that politicians are only temporary custodians of the country and its economy. Each economic model is built on the same premise that started many hundreds of years ago – that of bartering.

    Two pillars of government

    There are two main mandates or rather tasks that a ruling party is assigned by the electorate when it comes to governing. These are: controlling the country’s fiscal and monetary policy.

    Fiscal policy is the internal running of the country and basically deals with tax and how it is allocated. The fiscal budget is then awarded to the various sectors of any economy.


    These include education, transport, healthcare, finance, trade and industry, defense, agriculture, and many other building blocks of your country.
    How the government prioritizes the spending on each of these sectors will determine its policy priorities.

    It will also be a signal of its wider political intentions. And this not only to voters but also to its neighbouring countries in regard to international trade and security.


    A nation concerned with information and its human capital will prioritize education in its budget. There are however other approaches to budgetary allocation such as funding trade and industrial activities.
    This leads to job creation that will, in turn, drive a need for tradesmen and women to diversify and obtain the new skills required.


    This also provides an incentive for state-run schools, privately funded schools, and institutions to develop new skill sets. Doing both is ideal – as governments must foster innovation by promoting and funding higher learning institutions where top talent can be nurtured and developed.

    Fiscal policy forms the larger mandate as this budget is derived from the collective taxation of income, capital gains, trading and customs, sin taxes, corporate, and simple public services.
    That way allocation of the fiscal budget to finance will pave the way for monetary policy to function.

    International trade is the key to generating further income as a government cannot rely on an internally driven economy to sustain wealth. The same applies to business so an agreed trade policy would need to accommodate all aspects of the country’s economy.

    National specialization

    Every thriving nation has been built on either skilfully utilizing internal resources or have created global demand for a service or industry.
    The UK has strong financial and corporate offerings plus its geo-positioning (GMT) allows it to be a central commercial trading point for the world.
    Germany has always had a rich source of steel enabling the production of cars, rail brands, and manufacturing.


    In addition, it continues to be a market leader in developing technologies to complement those industries thus allowing the country to thrive as a major European power.


    The Nordic countries are rich in mineral resources of which they have converted the revenues into national trust funds. These are used to aid its citizens; many of whom develop skills in trade, innovation, and finance (and now Fintech).


    Though Japan is geographically smaller and is made up of two islands it continues to prosper by becoming a global leader. This comes from its exports of tech innovation, artificial intelligence (robotics), and fishing stocks.
    It even ‘exports’ financial aid (loans) to other countries due to its strong and disciplined monetary policy.


    The US has invested heavily in services, human capital, and innovation – to large extent immigration has played a major role in these areas of growth.

    The emerging economies

    Russia is mineral-rich and has outsourced its intelligence gathering skills, military technology, and training for years.


    China continues to grow and subsidizes its agriculture and manufacturing industries fully utilizing the abundance of manual labour at its disposal.

    China even exports this labour thus gaining influence and soft power enabling Chinese goods and services to be exported more freely to other economies.


    The ability to offer the global economy a form of expertise or goods/service can attribute hugely to each country’s economic wealth.  Israel – military and intelligence; Brazil agriculture and tourism not to mention countries in the Far East – oil and fossil fuels.

    Most African countries obtain their sources of income (though not as much as they should) from natural minerals, agriculture, and tourism.


    Ghana has gold and cocoa; Nigeria – oil; South Africa – gold and many mineral resources; Kenya and Tanzania – tourism. Even a poor country like Zambia has survived because of its coal and coffee reserves.


    Any country without resources or the ability to offer goods and services would have to be more subsistence-like. This usually means having to rely on aid or import goods and services.


    That, however, comes at a price and leads to the country functioning with an unsustainable debt burden.

    Application of policies

    Interesting food for thought by Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati, a famous Indian-born economist in the US:
     
    Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than it exports.
    Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger.
     
    The Japanese on a contrary, save a lot. They do not spend much. Also, Japan exports far more than it imports, has an annual trade surplus of over 100 billion. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.
     
    Modern economists complain that Japanese do not spend, so they do not grow. To force the Japanese to spend, the Japanese government exerted itself, reduced the savings rates, even charged the savers. Even then the Japanese did not spend (habits don’t change, even with taxes, do they?). Their traditional postal savings alone is over $1.2 trillion.
     
    Thus, savings, far from being the strength of Japan, has become its pain.
     

    International trade

    This then gives way to various trading blocs, which over time have been built, broken, or renegotiated when it was not suiting either of the participants.

    The strength of a country’s currency is primarily determined by supply and demand for its sovereign currency. This demand can only be fostered by trade.

    The more the demand for a countries commodity the greater the demand for its currency. This is the medium we use to compensate for transactions. In terms of a country’s monetary policy, it is more of a singular relationship between a government and its banks.

    The banking system

    Banking is the system to which you can place your disposable income (gross income after-tax) in a digital repository. The central (reserve) bank regulates the money supply into the economy ensuring that locally, inflation does not corrode the value of its currency. The central bank controls how much it lends to local banks and at which payable interest rate.


    The central bank is independent of the government. They have their policies shaped by fiscal influences and are under obligation to impact the strength of the economy through its interest rates and exchange rates.
    So, the central bank sets the mandate by which banks offer security interest, loans, and building deposits to help you benefit from their hard-earned cash.


    Banks, however, have a wide range of consumer charges so transacting doesn’t offer much protection against inflation. In some cases, banks offer you zero interest on savings deposited!


    You can therefore understand the frustration of citizens who would like to see increased corporate taxes, especially for banks. This especially as they reward executives with excessive remuneration packages even in a failing economy.

    Financial governance and regulations

    The new wave of Cryptocurrency aims to shake-up these long-standing benefits banks have enjoyed. Benefits such as the bailouts from taxpayers’ money from risk-taking behaviour that nearly brought the global economy to its knees.


    Banks behave like a petulant child knowing well that their ‘parents’ will only mildly reprimand them. This ultimately enables the continuation of behaviour with as they get away with only a slap on the wrist.


    Governments tolerate bank’s excessive salary packages and risk-taking because they play a strategic role in the stability and growth of an economy.

    This is just the tip of the iceberg and paints a big picture of how a country is managed – or indeed can be mismanaged.
  • Out with the old school…

    Out with the old school…

    Creative destruction has become our new favourite buzzword. It also aptly describes this new wave or phenomenon of Crypto-mania driven by the blockchain and its shining star – the Bitcoin.

    Suddenly, people who normally would not bat an eye at trading are now asking how to invest in Crypto.

    Bitcoin

    We must note that anything that goes up very abruptly and abnormally – eventually comes tumbling down. The same way the big dot.com bubble burst and left many in dire straits after they over-indulged in overvalued tech companies.

    Turbulent history

    Bitcoin will eventually find its peak and there will be a mass sell-out and a ‘crash’ at some point.

    We even had the likes of an ironical skeptic – the dubious Ponzi-scammer dubbed ‘the Wolf of Wall StreetJoel Belmont. He attempted to pre-empt a crash of Bitcoin.

    The funny thing is, however, most of the critics are people who have not invested themselves. Perhaps they suffer from a case of ‘sour grapes’ or they simply don’t understand how it works to even get involved.

    Doubt is prompted by fear of an unknown. Most investors themselves don’t understand the complex algorithms that went into designing the blockchain. However, it is proving to be resilient and gaining intrinsic value by the day.

    A new industry borne

    Bitcoin (at the time of writing), which was hovering around $17000 after breaking its latest resistance level, and poised to reach the $20000-mark.

    Creative destruction does not result in the reinventing of the wheel. It does, however, make the previous version look ancient very quickly. So while Bitcoins may not even last long, it has brought about its add-ons or spill-over effects.

    There are now hundreds of cryptocurrencies. While not all and most will not experience huge price surges like that of Bitcoin, Ethereum, or recently Dash, they are still in circulation.

    One of the spill-over effect includes the creation of jobs for new entrepreneurs, gamers, and developers across the globe.

    Though it might be too late for investors to delve into the above-mentioned ‘big boys of crypto’, institutions are constantly developing blockchain solutions.

    The fact of the matter is that the use and process of a blockchain makes sense and will, and is in the process of removing the old currency system.


    Now, this may take a while before it completely phases out fiat money. This will also hopefully, much to the delight of governments and fiscal authorities, help eradicate the scourge of counterfeiting. 

    Applications of blockchain

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    Think about the big picture, the blockchain technology will allow you or any institution smart enough to copy or modify a part of the anonymously written code. Blockchain is open-source, so anyone smart enough can create their own.


    We can now have Crypto for shopping, for buying cars; getting your salary paid by a multi-national company irrespective of where you are based; or paying for using Internet services (IoT).


    The latter already exists and is called IOTA – read more about it on the resources page.


    This technology can enable one to find creative ways to monetize a cryptocurrency to serve any purpose. This while providing a secure and lightning-quick means to transfer funds.


    Litecoin and Dash boast amazing speeds of under 10 seconds to complete international money transfers.


    It would be interesting to observe any bank try and beat that without charging an arm and leg for that type of service!

    The motor industry

    The critics, who thought Elon Musk was crazy for inventing electrically powered battery motors to run engines and now trucks – are now eating their shorts.

    Not only did Tesla´s market capitalization beat that of Ford and recently BMW, but it also outperformed petro/diesel-powered vehicle companies. Outdoing them in speed and performance, attractive looks, and practicality – Tesla is changing the motor industry.

    Manufacturers like Volvo, Porsche have now rolled out their own hybrids cars. They are looking to go the route of fully electric motors within a short matter of years.

    Such notable paradigm shifts in the way we do things embody the beautiful concept of creative destruction. Those that shun it get left behind.
    And while it is not all about the monetary gains, you can own the coins to use for transactions rather than for investment.

    It will serve you better, in the long run, to get in the know of what is out there.

    Beware of scammers

    Be wary and vigilant, as like with money and investment, there are sharks out there (offering deals). The aim is to exploit you and many other unknowing technophobes looking to make a quick buck or two from Crypto.

    Mining Cryptocurrencies (is particularly conducive for gaming enthusiasts) and using them to benefit you quickly and securely in the way of a new digitized future.

    Some Internet pirates in desperation use anonymous digital currency such as Monero. They now use java-scripted mining devices (hidden behind ads) to drain hash power unsuspecting from your web-page browsers.

    The way forward

    Everyone is trying to get a piece of the action! There are also legitimate paid commission-based add-ons for trading as well – opening up a new world of digital earning online.

    Don’t get left behind. But as with any investment, and a caution to the wise: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, and should not substitute any investment portfolio. They should only and always account for a fraction of your overall investment.

  • Globalization 2.0

    Globalization 2.0

    The implementation of globalization has not been without its major flaws. Abolishing it, however, is paramount to anti-socialist behaviour or looking inwards. This concept is against the tendencies of human nature.

    If you read up on any definition of globalization, you will see that the intention was always genuine. The need to integrate and collaborate for the mutual benefit of nations.

    It can, however, like any product (like knowledge), be exploited out of selfish desires and lead to exploitation.

    Of course, it also doesn’t mean that globalization must apply to every sector of your economy.  Some inward investment is always healthy. It should, however, not lead to extreme nationalism for a fear of loss of national identity.

    Trust issues

    The problem, like many others, lies in the hands of politicians who are controlled and dictated to by a handful of large corporations. These ‘corps’ have one and only self-interest – profit, power, and control.

    The main concern for sovereign governments is that ‘giving up’ or sharing one’s technological, innovative, or manufacturing secrets to other countries. The premise is that this would make them ‘vulnerable’.

    The real issue lies in a lack of trust – leading to the notion: “I will not let you know how I do it because you may use it against me – in trade or war”.

    Despite the existence of supposedly ‘compartmentalized’ trading blocs and free trade areas like NAFTA, EU, ECOWAS, SADC, etc, the rate of globalization has sped up significantly in the past decade.

    This is due to boundless advances in information technology as accurately predicted by Neoclassical Growth Theory.

    Information technology has now given us valuable new tools to identify and engage in economic activity.

    Tech provides access to and faster, more informed analysis of information, transfers of assets, and collaboration.

    The impact on finance

    A globalized world means that with the aid of technology, you can buy and sell shares of an Italian firm from a desktop in Namibia!


    You would then only have to deal with the commissions and transaction fees (capital gains tax) locally pertaining to your online trades.

    And think about it, on a micro-level. If globalization is entirely a bad concept then no-one should be using Amazon, eating MacDonalds, or watching Netflix in protest. Hard to imagine, isn’t it?


    We must praise its positive outcomes and work hard against the negative impacts. The negative ones are also giving rise to a new era of extreme nationalism or populism.


    You can only do your bit by promoting and backing policy-makers who can enforce good trade laws.  This would force both local and international competitors to play by the same rules.


    Penalties for financial misconduct should be a lot greater to deter exploitation. Rather, perpetrators still get the proverbial slap on the wrist.


    The creative destruction of the financial system will be brought about by cryptocurrency and its underlying blockchain technology.

    Depending on its uptake, and whether the authorities can legitimize its legality, we may see individuals and governments using decentralized currencies.


    The Venezuelan president is investigating the concept of a national cryptocurrency dubbed ´Petro´. They would use it to alleviate dependency on (heavily interest-ridden) loans.

  • A digital force awakens

    A digital force awakens

    When it comes to providing means of storing, sending, and receiving money, banks and their affiliated institutions, have enjoyed a monopoly for centuries.

    They (especially central banks which allegedly are owned powerful families) have the authority to influence countries and their governments.  We will not go into the level of control as this paves the way for conspiracy theories which though not proven – are not farfetched.


    So, it’s only expected that when some new and unknown entity threatens their prosperity, they start to react.

    Blockchain frenzy

    How banks are responding is evident by how they are fervently building their own blockchains. This, however, defeats the purpose of a having decentralized system.


    Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies get their appeal not just because they are very secure.  But because unlike fiat money, they are not heavily regulated and can be mathematically restricted.


    The 21 million unit limit on Bitcoin by default places it closer to the status of gold (which is also not infinite). But what happens when all are mined in 2041?
    Bitcoin’s current ‘value’ of over $30 000 (adjusted), could move up again, according to the traditional laws of supply and demand as it becomes rare.


    To unlock more value the creators will split it again. The first major splits (forks) gave rise to Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash.  Both cryptocurrencies are racing to newer heights daily.

    How banks operate

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    Now back to the banks – they make money from our deposits and these deposits are backed up by our reserve banks.
    Reserve banks lend retail banks money which they essentially just print. The banks must ‘turn it’ and pay it back with interest (repo rate).


    So, technically we ‘empower’ banks by depositing our money so they can invest the funds in all sorts of mechanisms. Such mechanisms include the credit and loans to you, your businesses, equities, and property.


    Then, they also invest in high-risk investment vehicles like currency trading, derivatives (futures). They are essentially the biggest regulated and legal Ponzi-schemes. They also make a significant amount of the daily fees they charge you.

    A quick example

    Let’s quickly put things into context. A bank with over a million customers transacting daily. Let’s say they charge you a 10 cent (conservative figure) transaction fee for depositing, withdrawing from another bank, or an intra-bank transfer.


    They then make 0.10c  x 1 000 000 = 100 000 units of the currency on the day. This equates to 1,2 million Euros, Dollars, Rands, or Yen annually. And that is just off your transactional fees!

    Then they also charge you monthly service/maintenance fees. Those are to cover the convenience of you having an account and, for services like online banking.


    This is what cryptocurrencies can potentially wipe away from banks we all go the digital currencies route.  Granted, how you acquire and transfer Cryptocurrencies are not as straightforward as receiving paper money – yet.


    That, coupled with the stigma around ‘Cryptos’, means there is still a barrier to entry for the ‘open-source’ monetary system.


    Banks will try and bring about their own blockchains to address security concerns around making transactions. For them, however, it would still be business as usual when it comes to the charges.

    Birth of Fintech

    Some newer financial institutions, however, are already progressing in the favour of you and me – one such is the European based N26 Bank.


    We often end up paying for things all month without even having to go to an ATM. It works as a traditional bank would, however, allows the (smart) card to be used as a credit card (backed by Mastercard) would.


    This allows you to quickly purchase goods online, book events, flights ticket, and accommodation. Basically, all things you still can’t do with your debit card.

    In countries like Sweden and Estonia, card and digital systems have been a thing for a long time now.


    Some of these Fintechs are adopting or partnering with Cryptos companies to deliver their services. One such as the relationship the one between a German bank and the crypto Ripple.

    Click image to purchase Ripple here

    It would be interesting to see what governments and financial institutions do to ‘protect’ their payment systems. Likewise, it will be equally fascinating to observe how they adapt in general to the new digital era upon us.

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