Tag: government

  • How countries operate

    How countries operate

    At times, we can all become frustrated by political agendas, misfortunes, and perceived lack of planning by various governments around the world. As a result, not quite often see the bigger picture – or the economics of how countries work.

    Naturally, the political fracases provide fuel for media companies who in turn bombard us with their 24-hour news cycles. But we need to understand that politicians are only temporary custodians of the country and its economy. Each economic model is built on the same premise that started many hundreds of years ago – that of bartering.

    Two pillars of government

    There are two main mandates or rather tasks that a ruling party is assigned by the electorate when it comes to governing. These are: controlling the country’s fiscal and monetary policy.

    Fiscal policy is the internal running of the country and basically deals with tax and how it is allocated. The fiscal budget is then awarded to the various sectors of any economy.


    These include education, transport, healthcare, finance, trade and industry, defense, agriculture, and many other building blocks of your country.
    How the government prioritizes the spending on each of these sectors will determine its policy priorities.

    It will also be a signal of its wider political intentions. And this not only to voters but also to its neighbouring countries in regard to international trade and security.


    A nation concerned with information and its human capital will prioritize education in its budget. There are however other approaches to budgetary allocation such as funding trade and industrial activities.
    This leads to job creation that will, in turn, drive a need for tradesmen and women to diversify and obtain the new skills required.


    This also provides an incentive for state-run schools, privately funded schools, and institutions to develop new skill sets. Doing both is ideal – as governments must foster innovation by promoting and funding higher learning institutions where top talent can be nurtured and developed.

    Fiscal policy forms the larger mandate as this budget is derived from the collective taxation of income, capital gains, trading and customs, sin taxes, corporate, and simple public services.
    That way allocation of the fiscal budget to finance will pave the way for monetary policy to function.

    International trade is the key to generating further income as a government cannot rely on an internally driven economy to sustain wealth. The same applies to business so an agreed trade policy would need to accommodate all aspects of the country’s economy.

    National specialization

    Every thriving nation has been built on either skilfully utilizing internal resources or have created global demand for a service or industry.
    The UK has strong financial and corporate offerings plus its geo-positioning (GMT) allows it to be a central commercial trading point for the world.
    Germany has always had a rich source of steel enabling the production of cars, rail brands, and manufacturing.


    In addition, it continues to be a market leader in developing technologies to complement those industries thus allowing the country to thrive as a major European power.


    The Nordic countries are rich in mineral resources of which they have converted the revenues into national trust funds. These are used to aid its citizens; many of whom develop skills in trade, innovation, and finance (and now Fintech).


    Though Japan is geographically smaller and is made up of two islands it continues to prosper by becoming a global leader. This comes from its exports of tech innovation, artificial intelligence (robotics), and fishing stocks.
    It even ‘exports’ financial aid (loans) to other countries due to its strong and disciplined monetary policy.


    The US has invested heavily in services, human capital, and innovation – to large extent immigration has played a major role in these areas of growth.

    The emerging economies

    Russia is mineral-rich and has outsourced its intelligence gathering skills, military technology, and training for years.


    China continues to grow and subsidizes its agriculture and manufacturing industries fully utilizing the abundance of manual labour at its disposal.

    China even exports this labour thus gaining influence and soft power enabling Chinese goods and services to be exported more freely to other economies.


    The ability to offer the global economy a form of expertise or goods/service can attribute hugely to each country’s economic wealth.  Israel – military and intelligence; Brazil agriculture and tourism not to mention countries in the Far East – oil and fossil fuels.

    Most African countries obtain their sources of income (though not as much as they should) from natural minerals, agriculture, and tourism.


    Ghana has gold and cocoa; Nigeria – oil; South Africa – gold and many mineral resources; Kenya and Tanzania – tourism. Even a poor country like Zambia has survived because of its coal and coffee reserves.


    Any country without resources or the ability to offer goods and services would have to be more subsistence-like. This usually means having to rely on aid or import goods and services.


    That, however, comes at a price and leads to the country functioning with an unsustainable debt burden.

    Application of policies

    Interesting food for thought by Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati, a famous Indian-born economist in the US:
     
    Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than it exports.
    Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger.
     
    The Japanese on a contrary, save a lot. They do not spend much. Also, Japan exports far more than it imports, has an annual trade surplus of over 100 billion. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.
     
    Modern economists complain that Japanese do not spend, so they do not grow. To force the Japanese to spend, the Japanese government exerted itself, reduced the savings rates, even charged the savers. Even then the Japanese did not spend (habits don’t change, even with taxes, do they?). Their traditional postal savings alone is over $1.2 trillion.
     
    Thus, savings, far from being the strength of Japan, has become its pain.
     

    International trade

    This then gives way to various trading blocs, which over time have been built, broken, or renegotiated when it was not suiting either of the participants.

    The strength of a country’s currency is primarily determined by supply and demand for its sovereign currency. This demand can only be fostered by trade.

    The more the demand for a countries commodity the greater the demand for its currency. This is the medium we use to compensate for transactions. In terms of a country’s monetary policy, it is more of a singular relationship between a government and its banks.

    The banking system

    Banking is the system to which you can place your disposable income (gross income after-tax) in a digital repository. The central (reserve) bank regulates the money supply into the economy ensuring that locally, inflation does not corrode the value of its currency. The central bank controls how much it lends to local banks and at which payable interest rate.


    The central bank is independent of the government. They have their policies shaped by fiscal influences and are under obligation to impact the strength of the economy through its interest rates and exchange rates.
    So, the central bank sets the mandate by which banks offer security interest, loans, and building deposits to help you benefit from their hard-earned cash.


    Banks, however, have a wide range of consumer charges so transacting doesn’t offer much protection against inflation. In some cases, banks offer you zero interest on savings deposited!


    You can therefore understand the frustration of citizens who would like to see increased corporate taxes, especially for banks. This especially as they reward executives with excessive remuneration packages even in a failing economy.

    Financial governance and regulations

    The new wave of Cryptocurrency aims to shake-up these long-standing benefits banks have enjoyed. Benefits such as the bailouts from taxpayers’ money from risk-taking behaviour that nearly brought the global economy to its knees.


    Banks behave like a petulant child knowing well that their ‘parents’ will only mildly reprimand them. This ultimately enables the continuation of behaviour with as they get away with only a slap on the wrist.


    Governments tolerate bank’s excessive salary packages and risk-taking because they play a strategic role in the stability and growth of an economy.

    This is just the tip of the iceberg and paints a big picture of how a country is managed – or indeed can be mismanaged.
  • Globalization 2.0

    Globalization 2.0

    The implementation of globalization has not been without its major flaws. Abolishing it, however, is paramount to anti-socialist behaviour or looking inwards. This concept is against the tendencies of human nature.

    If you read up on any definition of globalization, you will see that the intention was always genuine. The need to integrate and collaborate for the mutual benefit of nations.

    It can, however, like any product (like knowledge), be exploited out of selfish desires and lead to exploitation.

    Of course, it also doesn’t mean that globalization must apply to every sector of your economy.  Some inward investment is always healthy. It should, however, not lead to extreme nationalism for a fear of loss of national identity.

    Trust issues

    The problem, like many others, lies in the hands of politicians who are controlled and dictated to by a handful of large corporations. These ‘corps’ have one and only self-interest – profit, power, and control.

    The main concern for sovereign governments is that ‘giving up’ or sharing one’s technological, innovative, or manufacturing secrets to other countries. The premise is that this would make them ‘vulnerable’.

    The real issue lies in a lack of trust – leading to the notion: “I will not let you know how I do it because you may use it against me – in trade or war”.

    Despite the existence of supposedly ‘compartmentalized’ trading blocs and free trade areas like NAFTA, EU, ECOWAS, SADC, etc, the rate of globalization has sped up significantly in the past decade.

    This is due to boundless advances in information technology as accurately predicted by Neoclassical Growth Theory.

    Information technology has now given us valuable new tools to identify and engage in economic activity.

    Tech provides access to and faster, more informed analysis of information, transfers of assets, and collaboration.

    The impact on finance

    A globalized world means that with the aid of technology, you can buy and sell shares of an Italian firm from a desktop in Namibia!


    You would then only have to deal with the commissions and transaction fees (capital gains tax) locally pertaining to your online trades.

    And think about it, on a micro-level. If globalization is entirely a bad concept then no-one should be using Amazon, eating MacDonalds, or watching Netflix in protest. Hard to imagine, isn’t it?


    We must praise its positive outcomes and work hard against the negative impacts. The negative ones are also giving rise to a new era of extreme nationalism or populism.


    You can only do your bit by promoting and backing policy-makers who can enforce good trade laws.  This would force both local and international competitors to play by the same rules.


    Penalties for financial misconduct should be a lot greater to deter exploitation. Rather, perpetrators still get the proverbial slap on the wrist.


    The creative destruction of the financial system will be brought about by cryptocurrency and its underlying blockchain technology.

    Depending on its uptake, and whether the authorities can legitimize its legality, we may see individuals and governments using decentralized currencies.


    The Venezuelan president is investigating the concept of a national cryptocurrency dubbed ´Petro´. They would use it to alleviate dependency on (heavily interest-ridden) loans.

  • Elasticity and Sin Tax

    Elasticity and Sin Tax

    We can change our dependence on certain goods and services so that we don’t take too high a knock when their prices fluctuate.

    Life is about making choices. As rational beings, we tend to make choices that benefit our wealth and well-being.


    But some choices have to be made on our behalf — especially when it comes to the provision of commonly used goods and services.

    What is elsaticity?

    The prices of government-regulated products such as fuel, alcohol, and cigarettes are examples. How we react to the price change (whether an increase or decrease) is referred to in economics as elasticity.


    It is a general term for a ratio of change and scientifically attempts to capture your sensitivity to price movements. It is the percentage change in the quantity demanded (or supplied) of something brought about by a percentage change in its price.

    A 10% increase in the price of bread, resulting in a decrease in the quantity demanded by 8%, means your price elasticity of demand for bread is 0,8.

    The ratio is expressed as a number between negative infinity and infinity, with one being the midpoint. The number has no unit — it is not expressed in centimetres, litres or as a percentage.

    45642_1200x628
    120x600


    But that number tells us a great deal. If it is higher than one, the product is said to be elastic. This means the quantity you demand responds strongly to price changes.


    Anything under one is inelastic. This means a price change doesn’t affect your demand for it much.

    When a product is said to be unit elastic, it means the change in quantity demanded is equal to the change in price.

    Practical examples

    On the commercial side, the concept becomes more useful when formulating and studying consumer trends. It is especially beneficial to brand managers who need to set prices for their products while paying attention to sales.


    Income elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of the quantity of a good to changes to your disposable income.


    Generally, the more inelastic the product, the easier it is for firms to maximize profit by increasing their price.

    Taking advantage of addictions

    If you’ve ever wondered why the prices of your alcohol and cigarettes — commonly referred to as “sin taxes” — always rise, it is because they are inelastic.


    If you were addicted to nicotine, for instance, you would rather cut down on movie tickets to still afford a box of smokes. This makes you inelastic to the increase in cigarette prices.


    Likewise, we industrialize, we become heavily reliant on oil. Our dependence on oil was reiterated in the latest Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) oil outlook, which paints a gloomy picture. The West’s demand for oil is predicted to surpass the available supply in the coming years.


    Globally, over the decade of 1994-2004, about five times more passenger cars appeared on our roads than commercial vehicles. In South Africa, alone, commercial vehicle sales for July were up 13% in the same period.
    Concurrently, increases in lorry volumes worldwide have been observed.


    The more inelastic your product is, the easier it is for you to slap your consumers with high price increases.

    At the time of writing in 2007, the oil price once hovered around $73/barrel and threatened to reach a record high of $80*

    Concluding remarks

    By using other means of energy (oil substitutes, wind, electricity, and solar) we could reduce our reliance on oil. this would make it less inelastic.

    In South Africa, for example, using trains for cargo transport would ease our dependence on petrol and diesel-powered commercial vehicles.

    Carmaker Tesla recently launched its future truck and alleged fastest production car in a big to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels. Tesla is gaining steady ground to introduce its electric cars to the world and has surpassed the net worth of Ford.


  • Sustainability – the greatest farce?

    Sustainability – the greatest farce?

    We exist not to exist. Now, what does that really mean? Well, in simple terms, it means we are born to die. As grim as this unwanted reality sounds, it is the basis of why people do what they do and behave the way they do.

    Some live to enjoy that short moment and blissfully hope it doesn’t come sooner than later. Others strive and prepare for that day with the hope they make an impact and leave a lasting impression.


    That lasting impression, in turn, can be for good or bad reasons – often confused by the individual.


    Martyrs and suicide committers, for example, tend to feel that their unpleasant actions are doing a great cause to society.


    Though their loved ones would beg to differ, it is the individual who decides whether that impact they leave behind is a good or terrible one.

    The irrational human mind

    One thing one learned in earlier days as undergraduates studying economics was that as individuals, we are mostly self-consumed and irrational.


    Some refer to it as being emotional – but all irrational traits to what ideal? After all, that is what separates us from machines and robots!

    Living for the present is an inherent human attribute that is hard to change or condition.

    We have so quickly moved on to adopt artificial intelligence without mastering our own level of intellect and compassion.


    We are certainly not advocating for a utopian state where everyone gets to the level of Albert Einstein. Emotional intelligence, however, unlike the more numerically rigid intelligence quotient, is inherent but can be honed or learned if one is willing.

    Difficulty implementing

    The problem with its adoption is that it takes effort. This is something not everyone is enthusiastic about – like math, chemistry, or gym class in high school.


    One must ponder why significantly less than 10 percent of the world owns all the riches. Meanwhile, we currently still must deal with world hunger, disease, and abject poverty.


    We must revisit the above notion of emotional intelligence. This is because one of its inherent traits is compassion – something most of those individuals don’t have or consciously try to avoid. Though this should be one of the obvious attributes that separate us from so-called beasts. Animals only have instincts to help with their decision-making processes. We, on the other hand, still struggle to use them.


    Sociopaths, psychopaths, dictators, and oppressors are, therefore, not far from beasts. They lack the compassion that would even amaze the most ruthless animal predator if they had the consciousness to see what was going on in our world. These people also lack what we basically have mythologically termed – a soul.

    A greater role to play

    This piece is however not to criticize or state the obvious about such people but to try to explain why they behave as they do.
    Psychologists and sociologists alike perhaps need to revisit their curricula and amend them to focus more on this very important but often ignored concept.


    This should be added in both subject areas but must begin the analysis from the grassroots level – from childhood.
    The stigma of seeing a psychologist (clinical, child, or industrial) would first need to be eradicated somehow for this to happen.


    These professions play a much larger role in shaping the world that we live in. A lot more than they may realize.


    It is when we learn to be compassionate and more emotionally conscious, that the concept of sustainability, conservation of any resource for future generations becomes a reality.

Translate »

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you accept our use of cookies.